基于高密度监测网络的极端降水事件趋势(匈牙利西南部)

IF 1.4 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Hungarian Geographical Bulletin Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI:10.15201/hungeobull.71.3.2
Gabriella Schmeller, G. Nagy, Noémi Sarkadi, Anikó Cséplő, E. Pirkhoffer, I. Geresdi, Richárd Balogh, L. Ronczyk, S. Czigány
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引用次数: 1

摘要

气候变化通常与极端天气现象有关。极端的天气模式可能会带来更长时间的干旱,更强烈的径流和更严重的洪水。降雨分布在空间和时间上都极不稳定,特别是在地形崎岖和土地利用不均的地区。因此,定位主要降雨事件并预测其水文后果是具有挑战性的。基于此,本研究利用匈牙利气象局(OMSZ)的网格化数据库和10个气象站的水文气象网络(PHN),对匈牙利西南部psamacs地区R≥20 mm、R≥30 mm和R≥40 mm(极端降水事件,EPE)日总降雨量的时空分布特征进行了研究。结果表明:(a) OMSZ数据集显示1971-2020年psamac地区EPE频次增加;(b) OMSZ数据集普遍低估了2013 - 2020年EPE频次,特别是R≥40 mm的EPE频次;(c) PHN数据集显示出轻微的地形效应,显示了2013 - 2020年两个数据集之间EPE的年度和季节空间差异。我们的研究结果指出插值数据集对于中尺度检测EPE分布是足够的。然而,具有地形代表性的监测网络为城市地区的水文管理提供了更详细的微观尺度数据。密集雨量计网络的数据可以补充插值数据集,促进复杂的环境管理行动和预防措施,特别是在与天气有关的灾害期间。
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Trends in extreme precipitation events (SW Hungary) based on a high-density monitoring network
Climate change is commonly associated with extreme weather phenomena. Extreme weather patterns may bring prolonged drought periods, more intense runoff and increased severity of floods. Rainfall distribution is extremely erratic both in space and time, particularly in areas of rugged topography and heterogeneous land use. Therefore, locating major rainfall events and predicting their hydrological consequences is challenging. Hence, our study aimed at exploring the spatial and temporal patterns of daily rainfall totals of R ≥ 20 mm, R ≥ 30 mm and R ≥ 40 mm (extreme precipitation events, EPE) in Pécs (SW Hungary) by a hydrometeorological network (PHN) of 10 weather stations and the gridded database of the Hungarian Meteorological Service (OMSZ). Our results revealed that (a) OMSZ datasets indicated increasing frequencies of EPEs for the period of 1971–2020 in Pécs, (b) the OMSZ dataset generally underestimated EPE frequencies, particularly for R ≥ 40 mm EPEs, for the period of 2013 to 2020, and (c) PHN indicated a slight orographic effect, demonstrating spatial differences of EPEs between the two datasets both annually and seasonally for 2013–2020. Our results pointed out the adequacy of interpolated datasets for mesoscale detection of EPE distribution. However, topographically representative monitoring networks provide more detailed microscale data for the hydrological management of urban areas. Data from dense rain-gauge networks may complement interpolated datasets, facilitating complex environmental management actions and precautionary measures, particularly during weather-related calamities.
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来源期刊
Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
Hungarian Geographical Bulletin Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊最新文献
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