基于SLIM和区间2型模糊集的散货船装卸作业人为误差估计

IF 1 Q3 ENGINEERING, MARINE Journal of Eta Maritime Science Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI:10.4274/jems.2023.92260
Ahmet Lutfi Tunçel, Pelin Erdem, Osman Turan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

散货船上的货物卸载作业是船上的关键作业。为了安全地完成这种类型的操作,船上的人员需要完成许多任务。然而,在这个过程中可能会发生许多人为错误,这种情况威胁到生命财产安全。在这方面,本研究预测了散货船卸货过程中可能发生的潜在人为错误和概率。在本研究中,利用区间型2模糊集和成功似然指数方法,提出了一种综合人为误差预测方法。因此,在本研究的范围内,获得了一个模型,可以对人为错误进行定性和定量评估。由于所做的分析,已经发现在散货船上卸载货物操作时发生的最常见的人为错误分别发生在跟随压载操作和执行防止船上过度纵倾/纵倾形成的任务的过程中。此外,得出的结论是,影响船员表现的因素主要是教育、沟通和经验。
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Estimation of Human Errors During Cargo Unloading Operations on Bulk Carriers Using SLIM and Interval Type 2 Fuzzy Sets
Cargo unloading operations on bulk carriers are critical shipboard operations. Many tasks are expected to fulfill by the ship’s personnel to safely complete this type of operation. However, many human errors may occur during this process, and this situation threatens the safety of life and property. In this respect, this study predicts potential human errors and probabilities that may occur during cargo unloading operations on bulk carrier ships. In this study, an integrated human error prediction approach is proposed using interval type 2 fuzzy sets and the success likelihood index method. Thus, within the scope of this study, a model was obtained that allows human errors to be evaluated both qualitatively and quantitatively. Because of the analyzes made, it has been found that the most common human errors that occur while unloading cargo operations on bulk carriers occur in the processes of following the ballast operation and performing the tasks to prevent excessive trim/list formation on board ship, respectively. In addition, it was concluded that the factors that most shape the performance of the ship’s personnel are education, communication, and experience.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
24
审稿时长
10 weeks
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