印度喜马拉雅地区水电开发规划展望

Manoj Kumar Singh
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引用次数: 4

摘要

印度电力部门(IPS)正逐步从过度依赖化石燃料(62%)过渡到可持续能源(SES),主要是为了实现可持续发展目标和《巴黎协定》的目标,即到2030年非化石燃料资源占总发电量的40%。在此背景下,太阳能发电正处于快速发展阶段,而水力发电由于各种原因导致时间和成本上升而落后,因此IPS在与其他可再生能源整合时的灵活性和可靠性方面的可持续性仍将是一个挑战。考虑到这一点,本研究的重点是:(i)分析和优先考虑印度喜马拉雅地区的水电潜力(HPP), (ii)确定水电开发方式的主要制约因素,(iii)讨论水电开发可持续规划的前进方向,同时适当地管理时间和成本超支,包括社会环境问题。该方法包括文献综述和分析关于印度正在进行的高强度项目中普遍存在的IPS、水电资源和项目特定风险的二手数据。结果表明,印度喜马拉雅地区在12个不同的邦拥有足够的平衡HPP (73%);可持续利用这些资源需要适当解决主要制约因素,即在审批过程中进行多次公开协商、诉讼、高投资、社会政治和合同问题,主要是通过在印度联邦结构中对土地和水拥有宪法权利的邦政府进行程序改革。研究结果将有助于企业家、投资者和决策者在印度国家自主贡献之外实现社会经济效益目标的规划过程。
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A planning perspective on Hydropower Development in the Indian Himalayan Region
The Indian Power Sector(IPS) is under gradual transition from over-reliant fossil fuel (62%) to Sustainable Energy Source(SES), primarily to achieve targets of SDGs and the Paris Agreement to base 40% of the total power generation capacity on non-fossil fuel resources by 2030. In this context, the solar power generation is on the fast-track whereas, hydropower development is lagging behind due to various reasons causing time and cost escalation, hence the sustainability of IPS in terms of flexibility and reliability in integration with other Renewable Energy Source will remain a challenge. With this concern, the focus of this study is to (i) analyze and prioritize the hydropower potential (HPP) in the Indian Himalayan Region, (ii) identify the prime constraints in the way of hydropower development and (iii) discuss the way-forward for sustainable planning of hydropower development whilst appropriately managing time & cost over-runs including socio-environmental concerns. The methodology involves literature review and analysis of secondary data about IPS, hydropower resources and project-specific risks prevalent in ongoing HEPs in India. The result shows that the Indian Himalayan Region has enough (73%) balance HPP in 12 different States; sustainable harnessing of which requiresproper addressing of the prime constraints viz., multiple public consultations in clearance process, litigations, high investment, socio-political and contractual issues, mainly through procedural reforms by the State Governments which have constitutional right over land and water in the federal structure of India. The finding of study will be useful for planning process of entrepreneurs, investors and policy makers in the direction to achieve the target of SES beyond India’s Nationally Determined Contribution.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is an international interdisciplinary journal in Sustainable Energy Planning and Management combining engineering and social science within Energy System Analysis, Feasibility Studies and Public Regulation. The journal especially welcomes papers within the following three focus areas: Energy System analysis including theories, methodologies, data handling and software tools as well as specific models and analyses at local, regional, country and/or global level. Economics, Socio economics and Feasibility studies including theories and methodologies of institutional economics as well as specific feasibility studies and analyses. Public Regulation and management including theories and methodologies as well as specific analyses and proposals in the light of the implementation and transition into sustainable energy systems.
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