东南亚新兴国家的城市化与化石能源消费

IF 1.3 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Environment and Urbanization ASIA Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI:10.1177/0975425321990378
Chi Minh Ho, L. T. Nguyen, A. Vo, D. Vo
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引用次数: 6

摘要

化石能源的消耗被认为是环境恶化的一个原因。随着城市化进程对化石能源的需求不断增加,不同国家对化石能源的依赖也不同。因此,通过减少化石燃料的消耗来改善环境质量的一刀切方法既不合逻辑,也不实际。本研究探讨了城市化对煤炭、天然气和石油等化石能源消费的短期和长期影响。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)对1985-2018年期间东盟五个新兴国家的样本进行了分析。研究结果显示,印尼、马来西亚和泰国的城市化似乎与短期内煤炭消费量的增加有关。在越南,天然气消费量将随着城市化而增加。然而,从长远来看,泰国和越南的城市化与石油消费的增加有关。从长远来看,印尼、马来西亚和菲律宾的城市化将导致煤炭消费量的减少。根据这项研究的结果,政策影响已经出现。
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Urbanization and the Consumption of Fossil Energy Sources in the Emerging Southeast Asian Countries
Fossil energy consumption is considered a source of environmental degradation. While the demand for fossil energy increases during the process of urbanization, different nations rely upon different sources of fossil energy. As such, a one-size-fits-all approach in reducing the consumption of fossil fuels to improve the quality of the environment is neither logical, nor practical. This study investigates the short-term and long-term effects of urbanization in relation to fossil energy consumption from coal, gas and oil. The auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) is employed on the sample of five emerging ASEAN nations in the 1985–2018 period. The findings reveal that that urbanization in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand appears to be associated with an increase in coal consumption in the short run. In Vietnam, gas consumption will increase with urbanization. However, in the long run, urbanization in Thailand and Vietnam is linked to an increase in oil consumption. Urbanization in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines leads to the reduction of coal consumption in the long run. Policy implications have emerged based on the findings of this study.
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来源期刊
Environment and Urbanization ASIA
Environment and Urbanization ASIA ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
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