Enhanced seasonality of surface air temperature over China during the mid-Holocene

Using all available simulations performed by climate models participating in PMIP4 (Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project – Phase 4), the authors quantify the seasonality change of surface air temperature over China during the mid-Holocene (6000 years ago) and the associated physical mechanisms. Relative to the preindustrial period, all 16 models consistently show an enhanced temperature seasonality (i.e., summer minus winter temperature) across China during that interglacial period, with a nationally averaged enhancement of 2.44 °C or 9% for the multimodel mean. The temperature seasonality change is closely related with the seasonal contrast variation of surface energy fluxes mainly due to the mid-Holocene orbital forcing. Specifically, the summer–winter increase in surface net shortwave radiation dominates the intensified temperature seasonality at the large scale of China during the mid-Holocene; the surface net longwave radiation has a minor positive contribution in most of the Tibetan Plateau and eastern China; and both the surface latent and sensible heat fluxes show partial offset effects in most of the country. There are uncertainties in the reconstructed temperature seasonality over China during the mid-Holocene based on the proxy data that can reflect seasonal signals.

摘要

利用PMIP4多模式试验数据, 作者量化了中全新世 (距今约6000年) 中国温度季节性变化. 结果表明: 相对于工业革命前期, 所有16个模式一致模拟显示中全新世我国温度季节性 (即夏季与冬季温差) 增强, 平均增幅9%; 这与该时期轨道强迫引起的地表能量通量的季节对比变化密切相关, 其中净短波辐射起主导作用, 净长波辐射作用次之, 感热和潜热为负贡献; 与模拟不同, 重建结果存在不确定性.