伊朗抗击新冠肺炎:国内和外部影响

Liangxiang Jin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要伊朗是新冠肺炎疫情最严重的受害者之一,其抗击该病毒的斗争是全球抗击该疾病的重要组成部分。这场斗争的内部和外部影响非常复杂,其中一些已经显而易见,尽管这些影响取决于伊朗最终控制疾病的速度和效果。由于新冠肺炎以及国内外停工,伊朗经济形势非常严峻。但与其他主要石油生产国相比,伊朗可能不会受到全球大萧条的影响,因为制裁已经减少了对石油收入的依赖。此外,伊朗可能成为医疗材料和设施的生产中心。在政治上,由于过去两年,特别是2020年前两个月的一系列事故,与病毒的斗争为政治紧张局势的暂时软着陆创造了机会,尽管危机确实产生了新的政治压力。疫情还为伊朗提供了机会,通过批评美国不人道的制裁,暂时改善其邻国的安全环境及其在核问题上的地位。最后,抗击病毒的斗争见证了伊朗和中国的共同努力,这有助于伊中全面战略伙伴关系的成熟。
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Iran’s Covid-19 Fight: Domestic and External Implications
Abstract Iran has been one of the most seriously hit victims of the COVID-19 pandemic, and its fight against the virus is one critical part of the global fight against the disease. The internal and external implications of the fight are very complicated, and some of them are already visible, though these implications depend on how soon and how effectively Iran finally brings the disease under control. Iran is economically in a very serious situation due to covid-19 and domestic and international shutdowns. But compared with other major oil producers, Iran could potentially be less affected by the global depression as sanctions had already made it less dependent on oil revenue. Furthermore Iran might become a centre of production of medical materials and facilities. Politically, the virus fight has created an opportunity for the temporary soft landing of the political tensions as a result of a series of accidents in the last two years and particularly in the first two months of 2020, though the crisis did produce new political pressures. The pandemic has also produced opportunities for Iran to temporarily improve its neighbouring security environment and its standing in the nuclear issue by criticising inhumane US sanctions. Finally, the fight against the virus has witnessed the joint efforts of Iran and China, which has contributed to a maturing of the Iran-China Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.
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