面向西方经济的运输业的影响:投入产出(I-O)模型分析

T. A. Messakh, Ernan Rustiadi, Eka Intan Kumala Putri, Akhmad Fauzi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

西帝汶运输部门的发展预计将成为支持其他部门的驱动机器,从而对该国与东帝汶陆地边界的经济产生巨大的多重影响。政府需要在交通部门的发展方面取得突破,因为西帝汶正在经历交通基础设施赤字。这是由于能够支持区域经济的交通基础设施质量和数量都很低。本研究旨在考察2018年发展对西帝汶的前后影响以及乘数效应。研究结果表明,西帝汶交通部门的分布程度为1.40。敏感性为0.486。对工资和工资的乘数效应(乘数收入)为2.069,对总增值乘数的影响为1.409。运输部门需要通过建立更有效、更高效的运输网络的多式联运连接来最大限度地发挥作用。还需要在整合国家、省和地区路段的发展阶段时优化连通性。网络连接有望鼓励生产部门增加或发展生产能力,从而在未来产生更优化的乘数效应。
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Dampak Sektor Transportasi Terhadap Perekonomian di Timor Barat: Suatu Analisis Model Input - Output (I-O)
The development of the transportation sector on the West Timor is expected to be a driving machine in supporting other sectors, so that it will have a large multipler impact on the economy at the land borders of the country with Timor Leste. The government needs to make breakthroughs in the development of the transportation sector, because West Timor is experiencing a transportation infrastructure deficit. This is due to the low quality and quantity of transportation infrastructure capable of supporting the regional economy. This study aims to examine the impact backward and forward, as well as the multiplier impact of development on West Timor in 2018. The result of the researched was that the transportation sector in West Timor has a degree of distribution of 1.40. While the degree of sensitivity was 0.486. The multiplier effect on salaries and wages (multiplier income) is 2.069, and the impact on the total value added multiplier is 1.409. The transportation sector needs to be maximized by building intermoda connectivity of the transportation network that is more effective and efficient. It is also necessary to optimize connectivity in integrating the development phases of National, Provincial and District road sections. The network connectivity is expected to be able to encourage the production sector which is able to increase or develop production capacity, thus providing a more optimal multiplier impact in the future.
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