社会主义罗马尼亚高等教育规划。政治优先事项还是经济需求?

R. Reisz, Iris Mihai
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摘要

本文旨在分析社会主义政权时期罗马尼亚高等教育的学额规划。一个严格的数字计算系统已经到位,这使得每个学科的学习地点都能在全国范围内进行规划。这些数字本应反映经济的“真实”需求。我们使用计量经济模型(VAR回归和Grangercutality检验)来确定该规划是否与独立来源(麦迪森项目)估计的先前和后续GDP值有关。结果表明,该规划确实基于经济形势和政治目标,甚至在某些研究领域成功地对经济发展产生了积极影响。罗马尼亚共产主义的经济灾难并不是由于计划不足造成的。
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Planning for higher education in Socialist Romania. Political priorities or economic needs?
The present paper intends to analyze the planning of study places inRomanian higher education during the real Socialist regime. A strict numerusclausus system was in place that enabled a national planning of study placesfor each discipline. The numbers were supposed to reflect the “real” needsof the economy. We use econometric models (VAR regressions and Grangercausality tests) to find if the planning was related to previous and followingGDP values as estimated by an independent source (the Maddison project).The results show that the planning was indeed based on the economic situationas well as on political goals, and even succeeded in positively influencingeconomic development in some areas of study. The economic disaster ofRomanian communism was not caused by deficient planning.
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