基于均值-决策树模型的道路交通状态预测方法

Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI:10.32738/jeppm-2022-0010
Xinghua Hu, Xinghui Chen, Wei Liu, Gao Dai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

准确预测道路交通状况,及时采取有效的交通控制措施是解决城市交通拥堵问题的有效途径。考虑能见度对交通的影响,对路面状态和时间特征进行精细划分,利用回归决策树建立以路面状态、时间特征和工作日特征为特征参数的交通流速度预测模型。进一步,从避免以速度作为单一参数对道路交通状态等级进行分类的角度出发,采用Kmeans聚类算法获得分类标签结果。以交通流速度和路面状态作为分类决策树的特征参数,建立多参数道路交通状态预测模型。实验结果表明,所提出的道路交通状态预测模型的预测精度为81.31%,该方法对道路交通状态预测具有良好的适用性和一定的应用价值。
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Road Traffic Status Prediction Approach Based on Kmeans-Decision Tree Model
An effective way to solve the problem of urban traffic congestion is to predict the road traffic status accurately and take effective traffic control measures in time. Considering the impact of visibility on traffic, the pavement status and time characteristics were finely divided, and a regression decision tree was used to establish the traffic flow velocity prediction model with pavement status, time characteristics, and working day characteristics as characteristic parameters. Furthermore, based on the perspective of avoiding using velocity as a single parameter to classify the road traffic status levels, the Kmeans clustering algorithm was used to obtain the classification label results. Moreover, the traffic flow velocity and pavement status were used as characteristic parameters of the classification decision tree to establish the multi-parameter road traffic status prediction model. The experimental result showed that the prediction accuracy of the proposed road traffic status prediction model was 81.31%, and this method has good applicability and certain application value for road traffic status prediction.
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来源期刊
Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management
Journal of Engineering Project and Production Management Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊最新文献
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