基于多区域投入产出的美国制造业碳排放与能源足迹分析

Kadhim Abbood, Gokhan Egilmez, F. Mészáros
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在本研究中,考虑到与世界其他地区的国际贸易联系,对美国制造业活动基于生命周期的碳和能源足迹影响进行了量化。美国经济已被纳入多区域投入产出(MRIO)生命周期评估框架,其中包括美国、中国、俄罗斯等40个主要经济体,以及世界其他地区(ROW),以评估全球能源和碳足迹影响。根据世界经济组织的数据库分类,假设每个国家的经济涉及35个主要行业。因此,总共有1435 (41 × 35 = 1435)个行业被用来代表世界经济的全球结构。该方法的新颖之处在于,MRIO模型是以随机方式建立的,而且还考虑了与全球贸易相关的不确定性。使用数据分析和统计建模方法对主要碳排放和能源消费行业和国家进行了分析。结果表明:美国对总碳足迹(CFP)和总能源足迹(EFP)的贡献最大,分别为81.73%和84%;此外,农业/狩猎/林业/渔业部门和电力/天然气/供水部门在美国整体碳足迹中占主导地位,分别占22%和21.28%。焦炭/精炼石油/核燃料行业在总能源足迹中所占份额最大,占总影响的47.9%。
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Multi-region Input-Output-based Carbon and Energy Footprint Analysis of U.S. Manufacturing
In this research, U.S. manufacturing activities' life cycle-based carbon and energy footprint impacts have been quantified, taking international trade linkages with the rest of the world into account. The U.S economy has been integrated into a multi-region input-output (MRIO) life cycle assessment framework where total of 40 major economies, including the USA, China, Russia, and others, plus the rest of the world (ROW) were modelled to assess global energy and carbon footprint impacts. Each country's economy is assumed to compromise 35 major industries based on the WIOD database classification. A total of 1435 (41 × 35 = 1435) industries has therefore been taken to represent the global structure of the world economy. The novelty of the approach is that the MRIO model has been developed in a stochastic fashion, plus global trade-linked uncertainties have also been taken into consideration. Top carbon emitting and energy consumer industries and countries have been analysed using data analytics and statistical modelling methods. The results show that the USA is the largest contributor to the total carbon footprint (CFP) and the total energy footprint (EFP) with 81.73% and 84%, respectively. Moreover, the agriculture/hunting forestry/fishing sector and the electricity/gas/water supply sectors dominate the overall U.S. carbon footprint, contributing 22% and 21.28%, respectively. The coke/refined petroleum/nuclear fuel sector has the largest share of the total energy footprint, with 47.9% of the total impacts.
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来源期刊
Periodica Polytechnica, Social and Management Sciences
Periodica Polytechnica, Social and Management Sciences Social Sciences-Social Sciences (all)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
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