比特利希抽样中的正态置信区间和自举置信区间

G. Stamatellos, Aristeidis Georgakis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

水平点抽样是森林资源清查中常用的一种方法。该方法将Horvitz-Thompson估计量应用于多个独立采样点,用于估算森林面积/林分的总体树木体积。本文采用正态法和两种自举法构造和估计置信区间;百分位法(Cα)和偏差校正加速法(BCα)。仿真结果表明,在样本量为10时,正态置信区间对真值的覆盖率较好。在样本量为20和30时,置信区间之间的覆盖率似乎没有实质性差异,尽管可以注意到BCα方法的小优势。在样本量为40时,三个置信区间的覆盖率高于名义覆盖率(95%)。
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Normal and Bootstrap Confidence Intervals in Bitterlich Sampling
The Bitterlich Sampling (horizontal point sampling) is a common method in forest inventories. By this method, the Horvitz-Thompson estimator is used in a number of independent sampling points for the estimation of overall tree volume in a forest area/stand. In this paper, confidence intervals are constructed and evaluated using the normal approach and two bootstrap methods; the percentile method (Cα) and the bias-corrected and accelerated method (BCα). The simulation results show that the normal confidence interval has better coverage of true value at sample size 10. At sample sizes 20 and 30, it seems that there are no substantial differences in coverage between confidence intervals, although it could be noted a small superiority of BCα method. At sample size 40, the coverage of the three confidence intervals is higher than the nominal coverage (95%).
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