中国贸易与预期寿命的协整分析

IF 3.7 Q1 ECONOMICS China Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI:10.1080/17538963.2020.1783745
M. Tahir
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引用次数: 10

摘要

摘要本文旨在实证检验贸易开放与中国经济预期寿命之间的关系。数据收集时间为1970-2015年。利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)建模技术分析了贸易开放程度与预期寿命之间存在的长期和短期关系。研究结果表明,贸易开放程度与预期寿命之间存在长期稳定的正相关关系。政府支出、医生数量和人力资本增长也对预期寿命产生了积极而显著的影响。同样,就业和医院床位数量的增长也对预期寿命产生了负面影响。此外,在短期内,政府支出、就业增长、医生数量和人力资本增长与预期寿命的关系在系数符号和显著性水平上都保持不变,而贸易开放、医院床位数与预期寿命的关系则相反。
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Trade and life expectancy in China: a cointegration analysis
ABSTRACT The purpose behind this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between trade openness and life expectancy for the Chinese economy. Data are collected for the period 1970–2015. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Modeling technique is utilized to find out the presence of long- and short-run relationship between trade openness and life expectancy. The findings indicated a stable long-run positive relationship between trade openness and life expectancy. Government expenditures, number of physicians and human capital growth have also positively and significantly impacted life expectancy. Similarly, growth of employment and number of beds in hospitals have influenced life expectancy negatively. Moreover, in the short run, government expenditures, growth of employment, number of physicians and human capital growth have maintained their relationship with life expectancy both in terms of coefficient signs and significance level while the relationship between trade openness, number of hospital beds and life expectancy is reversed.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
3.00%
发文量
20
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