在全经济模型中代表灌溉农业的新数据

IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Global Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2018-06-28 DOI:10.21642/JGEA.030103AF
Kirby Ledvina, Niven Winchester, K. Strzepek, J. Reilly
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们开发了一个框架,在全经济模型中代表灌溉土地的生产价值和扩张潜力,为能源-土地-水相互作用提供综合评估能力。根据水的可用性和灌溉基础设施的年度成本,通过全球126个供水地区的可灌溉土地供应曲线来量化扩大灌溉土地的范围。灌溉基础设施的升级包括(1)增加蓄水量,(2)提高输送效率,以及(3)提高灌溉效率。全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)数据库第9版使用2000年的产量和价格估计值,以5角分乘5角分的水平以及140个地区和8个作物部门计算灌溉和雨水灌溉农田的产值。这项工作有助于体现灌溉基础设施的内生投资,并允许更严格地探索水资源可用性对土地使用、能源生产和经济活动的区域和全球影响。
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New Data for Representing Irrigated Agriculture in Economy-Wide Models
We develop a framework to represent the production value and expansion potential of irrigated land within economy-wide models, providing integrated assessment capabilities for energy-land-water interactions. The scope to expand irrigated land is quantified through irrigable land supply curves for 126 water regions globally based on water availability and the annual costs of irrigation infrastructure. Upgrades in irrigation infrastructure include (1) increasing water storage, (2) improving conveyance efficiency, and (3) improving irrigation efficiency. The value of production on irrigated and rainfed cropland is computed at both a 5 arcminute by 5 arcminute level and for the 140 regions and eight crop sectors in Version 9 of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) Data Base using estimates of production quantities and prices from the year 2000. This work facilitates the representation of endogenous investment in irrigation infrastructure and allows for a more rigorous exploration of the regional and global impacts of water availability on land use, energy production, and economic activity.
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CiteScore
5.60
自引率
12.00%
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