基于SWOT和模糊逻辑分析的墨西哥发电生物质废弃物评价

Mariana Hernandez-Escalante, C. Martin-Del-Campo
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引用次数: 3

摘要

目前,墨西哥基于生物能源的发电量微不足道。然而,利用该国生物质资源的潜力是巨大的。本文旨在评估生物质废物在不久的将来用于墨西哥能源转型的情况。该方法首先确定有生物质废物的地点,并建立每种生物质发电所需的转换过程。实施了SWOT分析,以确定在相同基础上评估所有选项的标准。收集了能源系统专家的意见,以确定每项标准的优先次序。建立了一个模糊逻辑推理系统,根据选项的属性质量对其进行评估。从模糊分析中获得的输出是所有选项的可持续性优先级。我们分析了南下加利福尼亚州(BCS)地区的一个案例研究,结果显示了该地区可持续利用生物能源的24种替代方案的优先顺序,我们提出了从现在到2032年在该地区引入生物能源的指示性计划。如果指示性计划得以实施,到2032年,生物能源可以满足BCS 61%的电力需求。
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A biomass waste evaluation for power energy generation in Mexico based on a SWOT & Fuzzy-logic analysis
Power energy generation in Mexico based on bioenergy is currently insignificant. However, the potential for taking advantage of biomass resources in the country is considerable. This article aims to evaluate the use of biomass waste for the Mexican energy transition in the near future. The methodology starts by identifying sites with biomass waste and establishing the conversion processes needed to produce electricity for each type of biomass.  A SWOT analysis was implemented to define the criteria for evaluating all options on the same basis. The opinion of experts in energy systems was collected to assign the priority to each criterion. A fuzzy-logic inference system was formulated to assess the options based on the quality of their attributes. The output obtained from the fuzzy analysis is a sustainability prioritisation of all options. We analysed a case study for the Baja California Sur (BCS) region, and the results show the prioritisation ranking of 24 alternatives regarding the sustainable use of bioenergy in the region and we made a proposal of an indicative plan to introduce bioenergy in the region from now until 2032. If the indicative plan were implemented, 61% of the power demand of BCS could be covered with bioenergy by 2032.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is an international interdisciplinary journal in Sustainable Energy Planning and Management combining engineering and social science within Energy System Analysis, Feasibility Studies and Public Regulation. The journal especially welcomes papers within the following three focus areas: Energy System analysis including theories, methodologies, data handling and software tools as well as specific models and analyses at local, regional, country and/or global level. Economics, Socio economics and Feasibility studies including theories and methodologies of institutional economics as well as specific feasibility studies and analyses. Public Regulation and management including theories and methodologies as well as specific analyses and proposals in the light of the implementation and transition into sustainable energy systems.
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