巴基斯坦旁遮普棉麦种植系统中农民对自然灾害的认知

M. Usman, Asghar Ali, S. Hassan, M. Bashir
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摘要

本研究于2020年在巴基斯坦旁遮普邦费萨拉巴德Agricutlure大学农业资源经济研究所进行,旨在衡量农民对气候和自然灾害(CNH)对巴基斯坦旁遮遮普邦棉花小麦种植系统影响的理解。该研究还对气候和自然灾害的影响进行了排名。主要数据来自巴基斯坦主要棉花种植区旁遮普邦的540名农民。使用Likert量表询问有关CNH的问题(一个是强烈不同意,五个是强烈同意)。利用描述性统计,评估了气候和自然风险对农业产量的影响。答复分为百分比和图表。大约61%的农民强烈认为洪水和干旱降低了农业产量。此外,56%的受访者强烈认为霜冻、冰雹和高温会损害农业产量。此外,65%的人强烈认为生物疾病、极端寒冷、冬夏风、雾、烟雾、热浪、潮湿、台风和虫害会产生负面影响。农民们把频繁降雨的影响排在第一位。相比之下,生物疾病、冰雹、虫灾、洪水和干旱、晚雨、酷热和霜冻、夏季和冬季风暴、斑疹伤寒、早期阵雨和极寒排在第2位至第17位。得出的结论是,大多数农民都清楚气候和自然灾害。建议对农民进行CNH对农业生产力影响的教育。
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FARMER’S PERCEPTIONS REGARDING NATURAL HAZARDS IN COTTON-WHEAT CROPPING SYSTEM OF PUNJAB, PAKISTAN
The present research study was conducted during 2020 in Institute of Agricultural Resource Economics, University of Agricutlure, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan to measure the farmers’ understanding regarding the impact of Climatic and Natural Hazards (CNHs) in the CottonWheat Cropping System of Punjab, Pakistan. The study also ranked the impact of climatic and natural hazards. The primary data were collected from 540 farmers of Punjab, Pakistan’s major cotton-growing districts. Questions regarding CNHs were inquired by using the Likert Scale (one being the strongly disagree and five strongly agree). Using descriptive statistics, the influence of climate and natural risks on agricultural yield was assessed. The replies were grouped into percentages and graphs. Approximately 61% of farmers strongly agreed that floods and droughts reduced agricultural yield. Moreover, 56% of respondents strongly agreed that frost, hailstorms and excessive heat harm agricultural output. In addition, 65 percent strongly agreed that biological illnesses, extreme cold, winter and summer winds, fog, smog, heatwaves, humidity, typhoons, and insect infestations had negative consequences. The impact of frequent rain was ranked as first by the farmers. In contrast, biological illnesses, hailstorms, bug infestations, floods and droughts, late rains, intense heat and frost, summer and winter wind storms, typhon, early showers and extreme cold were ranked 2nd through 17th. It was concluded that majority of farmers well aware of the climatic and natural hazards. Educating farmers on the impacts of CNHs on agricultural productivity was proposed.
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