准确性检测:生物统计学家可以贡献的应用

J. Shuster
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摘要

在这篇简短的通信中,我们描述了一种最先进的准确性检测(测谎仪)方法,可在Converus.com上获得。据估计,该方法检测真实性(虚假性)的概率为88%(86%)。虽然测谎方法在刑事案件中不适用于判决有罪,但这项技术可以用来为那些试图公平解决争端的人提供重要的辅助信息。我们将提供三个例子:i.帮助人力资源部门解决MeToo#时代的性骚扰投诉;ii。在刑事诉讼中筛选监狱线人;三.评估死刑谋杀案的一致有罪判决,陪审团的审议花了很长时间才完成。这三个应用程序应被视为参与重要裁决的人员、准确性检测专家以及应用统计学家和生物统计学家之间合作的例子。鼓励其他应用程序。
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Accuracy Detection: Applications Where Biostatisticians Can Contribute
In this short communication, we describe a state of the art accuracy detection (polygraph) method, available at Converus.com. It is estimated to detect truthfulness (falseness) with 88% (86%) probability respectfully. While lie detection methods are not admissible in adjudicating guilt in criminal cases, this technology can be used to provide important ancillary information to those trying to fairly resolve disputes. We shall provide three examples: i. Helping Human Resources Departments resolve sexual harassment complaints in the MeToo# era; ii. Screening jailhouse informants in criminal procedures; and iii. Assessing unanimous guilty verdicts in capital murder cases, where jury deliberations took a very long time to achieve. These three applications should be viewed as examples of collaborations amongst those involved in important adjudication, experts in accuracy detection, and applied statisticians and biostatisticians, Other applications are encouraged.
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