技术对生活水平影响的模糊回归模型

Yury Zelenkov, Elizaveta Lashkevich
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文提出了一个基于模糊线性回归的技术对生活水平影响模型。人类发展指数被选为一个因变量,作为人口健康和福祉的指标。解释变量包括网络就绪指数(NRI)和全球创新指数(GII),前者衡量信息和通信技术对社会和国家发展的影响,后者衡量经济增长的驱动力。该分析基于2019年四组人均GDP水平不同的国家的数据。对发达国家来说,创新和信息和通信技术对生活水平的积极和平衡影响已经得到证实。对于两组发展中国家(中等偏上收入和中等偏下收入),GII系数为负值。更深入的分析表明,这是由于政治和社会制度的状况。这一事实意味着,如果不同时提高机构的成熟度,刺激其他创新发展领域(教育、知识和技术、基础设施)就会导致生活质量下降。
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Fuzzy regression model of the impact of technology on living standards
This paper proposes a model of the impact of technology on the standard of living based on fuzzy linear regression. The Human Development Index (HDI) was chosen as a dependent variable as an indicator of the health and well-being of the population. The explanatory variables are the Network Readiness Index (NRI), which measures the impact of information and communication technologies (ICT) on society and the development of the nation, and the Global Innovation Index (GII), which measures the driving forces of economic growth. The analysis is based on data for 2019 for four groups of countries with different levels of GDP per capita. For developed countries, the positive and balanced impact of innovation and ICT on living standards has been confirmed. For two groups of developing countries (upper and lower middle income), the GII coefficient was found to be negative. A more indepth analysis showed that this is due to the state of political and social institutions. This fact means that without a simultaneous increase in the maturity of institutions, stimulation of other areas of innovative development (education, knowledge and technology, infrastructure) leads to a decrease in the quality of life.
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