影响经济增长的决定因素——西巴尔干国家的证据

Esat Durguti, E. Gashi, Filloreta Demiri Kunoviku, Milaim Mehmeti
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文的目的是利用2001-2017年期间西巴尔干国家的强平衡面板数据,找出选定的决定因素是否对经济增长率有任何影响,所使用的数据是以年度为基础的,总共有102个观察期。为了实现这篇论文,使用了二次数据和先进的动态方法,如汇总OLS方法、固定和随机效应模型,来检验经济增长率作为因变量,以及解释变量,如工作汇款占GDP、出口占GDP、进口占GDP、外国直接投资占GDP和通货膨胀率。从产生的产出来看,确实可以说,工作汇款对GDP、出口对GDP和进口对GDP的影响分别影响经济增长和GDP增长。即使外国直接投资对GDP和通货膨胀率分别对经济增长和GDP增长没有显著影响。关键词:经济增长;宏观经济决定因素;面板数据。JEL代码:O47、O11、C23
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Determinants Affecting Economic Growth – Evidence for Western Balkans Countries
The purpose of this paper is to find out if selected determinants have any effect on the economic growth rate using the strong balanced panel data for the Western Balkan countries for the period 2001-2017, and the data used are on an annual basis, which in total there are 102 observation periods. For the realization of the paper, secondary data and an advanced dynamic approach were used, such as pooled OLS methods, fixed and random effects model, to test economic growth rate as dependent variable, and explanatory variables such as working remittances to GDP, exports to GDP, imports to GDP, foreign direct investment to GDP and inflation rate.  From the generated outputs, it is true to say that working remittances to GDP, exports to GDP, and imports to GDP have an effect that influences economic growth, respectively GDP growth. Even though foreign direct investment to GDP and inflation rate does not have a significant effect on economic growth, respectively GDP growth.   Keywords: Economic growth; macroeconomic determinants; panel data. JEL code: O47, O11, C23
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