全球化与气候变化交汇点上的越南大米价格

Q3 Social Sciences Copenhagen Journal of Asian Studies Pub Date : 2017-03-22 DOI:10.22439/CJAS.V34I2.5305
Carolina Gavagnin, M. B. Zolin, A. Pastore
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自20世纪80年代中期以来,越南经济取得了巨大进步,开放了国际关系,并进行了重要的经济和政治改革。越南还被列为最容易受到气候变化、预测气温上升和更频繁、更强烈的与气候相关的严重自然灾害(洪水、干旱、风暴、台风等)负面影响的国家之一。大米在越南国家粮食安全、农村发展和政治稳定中发挥着重要作用。本研究的目的是利用供需双方的潜在变量来分析国内大米价格的模式。它将重点关注气候变化和恶劣天气事件所发挥的作用,同时考虑到公众对该行业的大力支持。为此,研究人员开发了一个回归模型,通过广义最小二乘模型绘制国内大米价格。
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Vietnam's Rice Price at the Intersection of Globalisation and Climate Variability
Vietnam has made huge economic improvements since the mid-1980s, opening up to international relationships and undergoing important economic and political reforms. It is also listed among the countries most vulnerable to the negative impacts of climate variability, forecasted rising temperatures and more frequent and intense severe climate-related natural disasters (floods, droughts, storms, typhoons, etc.). Rice plays an important role in Vietnam's national food security, rural development and political stability. The aim of this study is to analyze the pattern of domestic rice prices using potential variables from the supply and the demand side. It will focus on the role played by climate variability and severe weather events while also taking into account the strong public support for the sector. With this aim, the researchers have developed a regression model for mapping the domestic rice price through the generalized least squares model.
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来源期刊
Copenhagen Journal of Asian Studies
Copenhagen Journal of Asian Studies Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
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