其他加密货币对比特币有影响吗?

J. Hossain, M. Ismail
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近年来,加密货币或虚拟货币正在成为消费者和国内交易的重要交换媒介。尽管如此,与真实货币相比,加密货币的交易价值非常不确定,可能会发生巨大变化。本文旨在评估加密货币(主要是比特币)的不确定性或波动性。在数字货币市场上,比特币是一种被广泛接受的货币。市场上的其他数字货币可能会影响比特币。例如,以太坊、莱特币、Zcash、Monero、达世币和Ripple对比特币有积极影响。之前的研究只关注比特币和其他市场,如股票市场、能源市场和汇率。然而,在这里,我们通过应用一些计量经济学模型来关注加密货币市场内的相互联系和波动动态。在本文中,我们已经表明,比特币和其他货币之间的关系可以在ARCH、GARCH、VAR和MGARCH框架中建模。GARCH(3,3)模型的预测值与原始数据非常接近。VAR稳定性结果表明该模型是稳定的。使用MGARCH模型的CCC、VCC和DCC对2017年1月1日至2019年3月15日的日回报率进行分析,我们发现变量之间存在显著的波动性和强相关性。
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Is There Any Influence of Other Cryptocurrencies on Bitcoin?
In recent years, cryptocurrency or virtual currency is becoming an essential medium of exchange in consumer and domestic trading. Nevertheless, the trading values of cryptocurrency compared to real money are very uncertain and can change dramatically. This article is aimed to assess the uncertainty or volatility of cryptocurrencies, mostly on Bitcoin. In the digital currencies market, Bitcoin is a widely accepted currency. Other digital currencies of the market may influence Bitcoin. For example, Ethereum, Litecoin, Zcash, Monero, Dash and Ripple have a positive impact on Bitcoin. Previous research only focuses on Bitcoin and other markets such as stock markets, energy markets, and exchange rates. However, here we focus on interlinkages and volatility dynamics within cryptocurrency markets by applying some econometrics models. In this article, we have shown that the relationship between Bitcoin and other currencies can be modelled in the ARCH, GARCH, VAR and MGARCH framework. Forecast values of the GARCH (3,3) model are given very close to the original data. VAR stability result shows that the model is stable. Using the CCC, VCC, and DCC of the MGARCH model on daily returns from 1st January 2017 to 15th March 2019, we found significant volatility and strong correlations between the variables.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊介绍: To provide a forum for the exchange of ideas and dissemination of empirical findings and analytical research in the specialized areas of accounting and finance with special emphasis on scholarly works with policy implications for countries in the Asia Pacific. The following are some of the topical subject areas relevant to the journal (but are not limited to): Accounting • Financial reporting and accounting standards • Auditing issues • Value based accounting and its relevance • Theory of accounting firm • Environmental auditing • Corporate governance issues • Public sector accounting Finance • Valuation of financial assets • International capital flows • Ownership and agency theory • Stock market behavior • Investment and portfolio management • Islamic banking and finance • Microstructures of financial markets
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