Allisions,Collisions and Groundings:估计物理海洋学实时系统(PORTS(R))对减少事故的影响

Eric Wolfe, K. Mitchell
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引用次数: 1

摘要

国内碰撞、碰撞和搁浅率的降低是技术进步以及海事行业实施最佳做法的结果。这项研究估计了美国国家海洋和大气管理局物理海洋学实时系统(PORTS®)在降低ACG率方面的长期总效益。PORTS®安装扩大了美国港口和邻近地区的覆盖范围,事故率随之下降。虽然之前的估计表明,20%至60%的接地事故减少是由于PORTS®,但目前的研究表明,多达一半的ACG费率减少是由于此类安装。截至2016年,PORTS®安装地点的ACG费率降低所带来的年度总效益估计接近2100万美元。在PORTS®仪器的估计十年经济寿命内,现有的PORTS®装置可节省1.8亿美元的现值。如果扩大到另外23个有经济理由的港口,最多可以节省1000万美元。十年后,这相当于8400多万美元。这篇研究文章发表在《海洋与海岸经济杂志》上:https://cbe.miis.edu/joce/vol5/iss1/4
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Allisions, Collisions and Groundings: Estimating the Impact of the Physical Oceanographic Real Time System (PORTS(R)) on Accident Reduction
Reductions in the rates of domestic allisions, collisions and groundings (ACGs) are the result of technological advances as well as implementation of best practices in the maritime industry. This study estimates long-term gross benefits derived from expanded implementation of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Physical Oceanographic Real-Time System (PORTS®) with respect to reductions in ACG rates in the United States. Following PORTS® installations that provided expanded coverage of U.S. ports and adjoining areas, concomitant decreases in accident rates occurred. While previous estimates suggested that between twenty and sixty percent of grounding accident reductions were due to PORTS®, current research suggests that up to half of ACG rate reductions were due to such installations. Annual gross benefits resulting from lowered ACG rates at PORTS® locations installed through 2016 were estimated to approach $21 million. Over the estimated ten-year economic life of PORTS® instruments, present PORTS® installations could produce a present value saving of $180 million. If expanded to an additional 23 ports where economic justification might be made, up to $10 million could be saved. Over ten years this would equate to over $84 million. This research article is available in Journal of Ocean and Coastal Economics: https://cbe.miis.edu/joce/vol5/iss1/4
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来源期刊
Journal of Ocean and Coastal Economics
Journal of Ocean and Coastal Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
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