移民汇款、荷兰疾病与孟加拉国资本积累

Hiroyuki Taguchi, Rifah Tamannah Shammi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用向量自回归(VAR)框架研究了1976年以来孟加拉国国际移民汇款对宏观经济的不同影响。与1976-1995年的前20年相比,孟加拉国在过去20年(1996-2014年)的经济表现更好。因此,时间序列分析揭示了汇款影响的一些转变,包括“荷兰病”效应和资本积累效应。实证结果表明,在1976年至1995年的第一个时期存在荷兰病效应,但在1996年至2014年的第二个时期,荷兰病效应对资本积累产生了积极影响。我们推测,最近以制造业为导向的政策,加上制度的改进,有助于汇款影响在两个时期之间朝着积极的方向转变。JEL:F22、F39、O53
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Emigrant’s Remittances, Dutch Disease and Capital Accumulation in Bangladesh
This article examines varying macroeconomic impacts of international emigrant remittances in Bangladesh since 1976 by using a vector auto-regression (VAR) framework. Bangladesh has recorded better economic performance during last two decades, 1996–2014, compared to earlier two decades, 1976–1995. The time-series analysis therefore uncovers some transition in the remittance impacts composed of the ‘Dutch Disease’ effect and the capital accumulation effect. The empirical results reveal the existence of the Dutch Disease effect for the first period, 1976–1995, but turned to show the positive impact on capital accumulation for the second period, 1996–2014. We speculate that the recent manufacturing-oriented policies together with institutional improvements have contributed to the transformation in the remittance impact towards a positive direction between two periods. JEL: F22, F39, O53
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11.10%
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期刊介绍: The purpose of the Journal is to publish (in English language) peer-reviewed articles, reviews and scholarly comments on issues relating to contemporary global macroeconomics and public finance by which is understood: The Journal is for all professionals concerned with contemporary Macroeconomics and Public Finance and is a forum for all views on related subjects. The Editorial Board welcomes articles of current interest on research and application on the areas mentioned above. The Journal will be international in the sense that it seeks research papers from authors with an international reputation and articles that are of interest to an international audience. In pursuit of the above, the journal shall: a. draw on and include high quality work from the international community of scholars including those in the major countries of Asia, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United States, other parts of the Americas and elsewhere with due representation for considerations of the readership. The Journal shall include work representing the major areas of interest in contemporary research on Macroeconomics and Public Finance and on a wide range of issues covering macro- economics, tax and fiscal issues, banking and finance, international trade, labour economics, computational and mathematical methods, etc. The Journal would particularly engage papers on pure and applied economic theory and econometric methods. b. avoid bias in favour of the interests of particular schools or directions of research or particular political or narrow disciplinary objectives to the exclusion of others. c. ensure that articles are written in a terminology and style which makes them intelligible, not merely within the context of a particular discipline or abstract mode, but across the domain of relevant disciplines.
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