The influence of COVID-19 epidemic on the number of orthopaedic surgeries in Japan

Background

There is limited data on the impact of COVID-19 epidemic on the number of orthopaedic surgeries in Japan.

Methods

We conducted a nationwide hospital survey asking for the monthly number of orthopaedic surgeries performed at each facility from January 2019 to June 2021. Those facilities that had performed at least 100 surgeries in 2019 were included for analyses. The facilities were further grouped by prefecture and by hospital characteristics. A brief health economic evaluation was also performed. Risk ratios were compared using univariate analyses with P < 0.05 considered statistically significant.

Results

Questionnaire was sent to 1988 hospitals with 1671 hospitals (84%) responding. The survey data indicated a total number of orthopaedic surgeries decreased in 2020 compared to 2019 (1,061,541 vs 1,119,955 P < 0.01), and also for the first six months of 2021 compared to the same period in 2019 (530,388 vs 550,378 P < 0.01). In 2020, over 50% of all facilities in nearly all of the prefectures saw a decline in surgical procedures.

The risk of incurring more than a 25% decease in the number of surgeries was significantly higher in 2020 for class I designated medical institutions compared to those that were not designated for any types of infectious diseases among the institutions with a tertiary emergency medical center in 2020 (crude risk ratio 2.9: 95% CI 1.2–7.4, p = 0.02) and in 2021 (crude risk ratio 4.7: 95% CI 1 0.9–12.1, p < 0.01).

The estimated total nationwide decrease of revenue were in the range of approximately ¥29.2 to ¥116.8 billion per year for orthopaedic surgeries alone.

Conclusion

There was a statistically significant decrease in the number of orthopaedic surgeries in Japan. The magnitude of the decline varied by prefectures and hospital characteristics, with the greater impact imposed on medical institutions with higher classification functions. The estimated immediate health economic impact was sizable.