有界理性活动-旅行分配标定的公式与求解:探索性研究

IF 12.5 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Communications in Transportation Research Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI:10.1016/j.commtr.2023.100092
Dong Wang , Feixiong Liao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

交通分配模型的参数标定对出行需求分析和管理至关重要。作为传统交通分配的扩展,有界理性活动出行分配(BR-ATA)内生地结合了基于活动的建模和交通分配,可以捕捉活动出行模式中高维选择方面之间的相互依赖性。包含多个活动参与事件和有限理性行为扩大了选择空间,并对BR-ATA模型的校准提出了挑战。借助于多状态超网络,本探索性研究将BR-ATA校准公式化为一个优化问题,并分析了两个附加组件对校准问题的影响。考虑到时间维度,我们还提出了BR-ATA校准问题的动态公式。采用同时摄动随机近似算法来解决所提出的校准问题。举例说明了基于活动的旅行需求。结果证明了该求解方法的可行性,并表明表征有界理性行为的参数对校准解的收敛性有显著影响。
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Formulation and solution for calibrating boundedly rational activity-travel assignment: An exploratory study

Parameter calibration of the traffic assignment models is vital to travel demand analysis and management. As an extension of the conventional traffic assignment, boundedly rational activity-travel assignment (BR-ATA) combines activity-based modeling and traffic assignment endogenously and can capture the interdependencies between high dimensional choice facets along the activity-travel patterns. The inclusion of multiple episodes of activity participation and bounded rationality behavior enlarges the choice space and poses a challenge for calibrating the BR-ATA models. In virtue of the multi-state supernetwork, this exploratory study formulates the BR-ATA calibration as an optimization problem and analyzes the influence of the two additional components on the calibration problem. Considering the temporal dimension, we also propose a dynamic formulation of the BR-ATA calibration problem. The simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation algorithm is adopted to solve the proposed calibration problems. Numerical examples are presented to calibrate the activity-based travel demand for illustrations. The results demonstrate the feasibility of the solution method and show that the parameter characterizing the bounded rationality behavior has a significant effect on the convergence of the calibration solutions.

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