未来气候变化影响的空间异质性分析——为日本跨部门适应战略提供支持

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.crm.2023.100528

Fei Liu , Yoshifumi Masago

引用次数: 3

摘要

应对气候变化需要贯穿各领域的有效适应战略。我们提出了一个基于情景的、跨尺度的、空间明确的框架，用于分析日本未来的多种气候变化影响。气候和多部门影响指标的相关性分析表明，影响评估模型中使用的气候和其他指标以及这些指标在这些模型中的使用方式等一系列复杂因素影响了相关性。然后，我们将K-means多元聚类分析与相似性搜索方法相结合，对日本未来的影响进行了协调和映射。利用气候变化影响的七个指标来确定21世纪末的同质影响区。日本的同质影响图由六个HIZ和两个孤立的影响集群组成，其特征是气候变化影响的不同程度和组合。气候变化和各种影响的共同发生是上下文敏感的。影响与其系数强度之间的关系决定了共现方向。这项研究的发现有助于我们理解复合气候风险，增强适应措施的协同作用和凝聚力，并加快基于科学的适应战略。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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An analysis of the spatial heterogeneity of future climate change impacts in support of cross-sectoral adaptation strategies in Japan

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来源期刊

Climate Risk Management Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science

CiteScore

8.20

自引率

4.50%

发文量

审稿时长

30 weeks

期刊介绍： Climate Risk Management publishes original scientific contributions, state-of-the-art reviews and reports of practical experience on the use of knowledge and information regarding the consequences of climate variability and climate change in decision and policy making on climate change responses from the near- to long-term. The concept of climate risk management refers to activities and methods that are used by individuals, organizations, and institutions to facilitate climate-resilient decision-making. Its objective is to promote sustainable development by maximizing the beneficial impacts of climate change responses and minimizing negative impacts across the full spectrum of geographies and sectors that are potentially affected by the changing climate.