金融科技、宏观经济不确定性与中国商业银行的主动风险承担

Fang Liang , Pu Zhao , Zhuo Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们收集了中国145家商业银行2010-2019年的年度数据,并使用面板数据固定效应模型研究了金融科技如何影响宏观经济不确定性对商业银行主动承担风险的影响。我们发现,金融科技的发展缓解了宏观经济不确定性对商业银行主动承担风险的抑制作用。具体而言,金融科技通过激励商业银行发放贷款和持有交易性金融资产发挥了缓解作用。随着商业银行主动承担风险的增加,金融科技的缓解作用单调减弱。这种缓解作用在不同类型的商业银行中是异质的,因为对于资本充足率高的银行和大型国有银行来说,这种缓解作用相对较弱。
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Financial technology, macroeconomic uncertainty, and commercial banks’ proactive risk-taking in China

In this paper, we collect the annual data of 145 commercial banks in China from 2010 to 2019 and use a panel data fixed-effect model to study how fintech (financial technology) affects the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty on commercial banks' proactive risk-taking. We find that the development of fintech mitigates the dampening effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on commercial banks' proactive risk-taking. Specifically, fintech plays a mitigating role by motivating commercial banks to issue loans and hold transactional financial assets. With the increase of commercial banks’ proactive risk-taking, the mitigation effect of fintech monotonically diminishes. This mitigating effect is heterogeneous across different types of commercial banks, as it is relatively weak for banks with high capital adequacy ratios and large state-owned banks.

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