发展中长期气候信息服务,以加强非洲的全面气候风险管理

Jessica Omukuti, Maureen Anyango Wanzala, Joshua Ngaina, Phoebe Ganola
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引用次数: 1

摘要

全球变暖及其与市场等非气候风险的相互作用导致非洲气候变化风险不断增加,这增加了对综合气候风险管理的需求,该管理考虑了气候和非气候风险,并能够采取行动解决易受这些风险影响的根本驱动因素。然而,全面的客户关系管理需要全面的气候信息服务(CIS),即在侧重于为当地和非当地决策者提供短期和长期气候信息的组成部分之间保持平衡的CIS。在这篇文章中,我们要问:独联体在非洲的整体性在多大程度上?我们审查了最近和正在进行的独联体在非洲的干预措施,以确定是否为地方和非地方决策者实现了短期和长期独联体之间的平衡,以实现整体独联体。我们发现,重点是为当地和非当地决策者提供短期,即亚季节性到季节性(S2S)CIS,而对中长期(MLT)CIS的关注有限,特别是为当地决策者的MLT CIS,这是非洲实现整体CIS的最大差距。我们提出了一个有支持的案例,即确保非洲的整体独联体将需要对独联体的发展采取基于投资组合的方法,特别是关注当地决策者的MLT独联体。我们进一步强调了将本地决策者的MLT CIS整合到现有CIS中的必要性。实现这一目标需要:(a)对不同的CIS格式、产品和时间框架进行实验和创新,以实现学习和灵活性,从而实现预期目标;(b) 气候信息生产者和消费者的能力发展,以确保他们分别具备理解、产生、阐明需求和消费MLT CIS的技能和专业知识;以及(c)协调分配财政资源,以确保整体独联体的所有组成部分都得到推进。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Develop medium- to long-term climate information services to enhance comprehensive climate risk management in Africa

Increasing climate change risks in Africa, emerging from global warming and their interaction with non-climate risks such as market, have increased the need for comprehensive Climate Risk Management (CRM) that considers both climatic and non-climatic risks and enables actions that address the underlying drivers of vulnerability to these risks. However, comprehensive CRM requires holistic Climate Information Services (CIS), that is, CIS that balances between components focused on provision of short- and long-term climate information for both local and non-local decision makers. In this article, we ask: to what extent is CIS in Africa holistic? We review recent and ongoing CIS interventions in Africa to determine whether a balance of components between short- and long-term CIS for local and non-local decision makers is achieved for holistic CIS. We find a focus on provision of short-term, that is, Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) CIS for local and non-local decision makers, with limited focus on medium- to long-term (MLT) CIS, particularly MLT CIS for local decision makers which represents the biggest gap to achieving holistic CIS in Africa. We present a supported case that ensuring holistic CIS in Africa will require a portfolio-based approach to CIS development, particularly focusing on MLT CIS for local decision makers. We further highlight the need for integration of this MLT CIS for local decision makers into existing CIS. Achieving this will require: (a) experimentation and innovation with different CIS formats, products and timeframes to enable learning and flexibility to achieve desired goals; (b) capacity development of producers and consumers of climate information to ensure that they have the skills and expertise to understand and generate, and articulate needs and consume MLT CIS respectively; and (c) coordinated allocation of financial resources to ensure that all components of the holistic CIS are advanced.

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