移民自我选择与随机冲击:来自1907年恐慌的证据

IF 2.5 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic History Pub Date : 2023-01-26 DOI:10.1017/s0022050722000535
David Escamilla-Guerrero, Moramay López-Alonso
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们研究了大萧条之前最严重的经济危机——1907年大恐慌对墨西哥移民选择的影响。我们发现,在危机之前,移民在身高上是被积极选择的。这种模式在危机期间变成了消极选择,但在危机之后又回到了积极选择。选择上的调整在一定程度上受到了契约制度的调节。契约制度是一种历史上的劳动力招聘制度,它降低了移民成本,但只针对身高较高、收入潜力高于平均水平的劳动力。我们的文件表明,劳动力招聘有助于在短期内保持相对恒定的高度轮廓的迁移流。
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Migrant Self-Selection and Random Shocks: Evidence from the Panic of 1907

We study the impact of the 1907 Panic, the most severe economic crisis before the Great Depression, on the selection of Mexican immigration. We find that migrants were positively selected on height before the crisis. This pattern changed to negative selection during the crisis but returned to positive selection afterward. Adjustments in selection were partially mediated by the enganche, a historical labor-recruiting system that reduced migration costs but only for taller laborers with above-average earnings potential. We document that labor recruiting contributed to maintaining the relatively constant height profile of the migration flow in the short run.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
4.80%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: The Journal of Economic History is devoted to the multidisciplinary study of history and economics, and is of interest not only to economic historians but to social and demographic historians, as well as economists in general. The journal has broad coverage, in terms of both methodology and geographic scope. Topics covered include money and banking, trade, manufacturing, technology, transportation, industrial organisation, labour, agriculture, servitude, demography, education, economic growth, and the role of government and regulation. In addition, an extensive book review section keeps readers informed about the latest work in economic history and related fields.
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