提前投票:更多的网站会导致更高的投票率吗?

IF 1.3 Q1 LAW Election Law Journal Pub Date : 2015-06-08 DOI:10.1089/ELJ.2014.0259
B. FullmerElliott
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引用次数: 28

摘要

在2008年和2012年,大约三分之一的美国选民在选举日之前投票。改革派认为提前投票降低了参与成本,因此应该会增加投票率。然而,最近的研究表明,两者之间并不存在正相关关系。文献普遍忽略了对各州内提前投票实施的重要差异的考虑。我打破了以往的研究,在县一级衡量提前投票的可用性,这通常差异很大。我依据的是选举援助委员会(Election Assistance Commission)关于2008年和2012年提前投票地点数量的数据。具体来说,我测量了一个县的提前投票地点密度对投票率的影响。我的模型控制了其他已知的参与预测因素,包括滞后投票率、人口统计、政治变量和选民身份要求。最终,我发现提前投票站点密度对投票率有显著的正向影响。
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Early Voting: Do More Sites Lead to Higher Turnout?
Abstract In both 2008 and 2012, about one-third of U.S. voters cast their ballots before Election Day. Reformers have argued that early voting lowers participation costs and should therefore increase turnout. Recent research, however, has reported that no positive relationship exists. The literature widely omits consideration of important differences in early voting implementation within states. I break from past research and measure early voting availability at the county level, where it often varies considerably. I rely on Election Assistance Commission data on the number of early voting sites available in 2008 and 2012. Specifically, I measure the effect of a county's early voting site density on turnout. My model controls for other known participation predictors, including lagged turnout, demographics, political variables, and voter identification requirements. Ultimately, I find that early voting site density has a significant and positive effect on voter turnout.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
16.70%
发文量
13
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