WILLIAM A. BARNETT, MARCELLE CHAUVET, DANILO LEIVA-LEON, LITING SU
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引用次数: 0
摘要
虽然信用卡提供交易服务,但它们从未被纳入货币供应量的衡量标准。我们推导出了衡量信用卡和货币共同服务的理论,并提出了两种衡量它们共同服务的方法:一种是基于微观经济结构总量理论,在宏观经济中提供一个总量变量;另一种是信用卡扩展总量,优化为一个指标,以捕捉货币和信用卡的贡献,作为名义 GDP 的预报指标。纳入新的总量后,名义 GDP 的即时预测准确度大大提高,这说明了信用卡所含信息的有用性。
The Credit-Card-Services Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates*
While credit cards provide transaction services, they have never been included in measures of money supply. We derive the theory to measure the joint services of credit cards and money and propose two measures of their joint services: one based on microeconomic structural aggregation theory, providing an aggregated variable within the macroeconomy; the other a credit-card-extended aggregate, optimized as an indicator to capture the contributions of monetary and credit card as nowcasting indicator of nominal GDP. The inclusion of the new aggregates yields substantially more accurate nowcasts of nominal GDP, illustrating the usefulness of the information contained in credit cards.