Andrea Carriero, Todd E. Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino
{"title":"勘误:测量不确定性及其对经济的影响","authors":"Andrea Carriero, Todd E. Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino","doi":"10.1162/rest_e_01172","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Carriero, Clark, and Marcellino (2018, CCM2018) used a large BVAR model with a factor structure to stochastic volatility to produce an estimate of time-varying macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and assess the effects of uncertainty on the economy. The results in CCM2018 were based on an estimation algorithm that has recently been shown to be incorrect by Bognanni (2022) and fixed by Carriero et al. (2022). In this corrigendum we use the algorithm correction of Carriero et al. (2022) to correct the estimates of CCM2018. Although the correction has some impact on the original results, the changes are small and the key findings of CCM2018 are upheld.","PeriodicalId":48456,"journal":{"name":"Review of Economics and Statistics","volume":"18 1","pages":"619a-619k"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6000,"publicationDate":"2022-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Corrigendum: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy\",\"authors\":\"Andrea Carriero, Todd E. Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino\",\"doi\":\"10.1162/rest_e_01172\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract Carriero, Clark, and Marcellino (2018, CCM2018) used a large BVAR model with a factor structure to stochastic volatility to produce an estimate of time-varying macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and assess the effects of uncertainty on the economy. The results in CCM2018 were based on an estimation algorithm that has recently been shown to be incorrect by Bognanni (2022) and fixed by Carriero et al. (2022). In this corrigendum we use the algorithm correction of Carriero et al. (2022) to correct the estimates of CCM2018. Although the correction has some impact on the original results, the changes are small and the key findings of CCM2018 are upheld.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48456,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Review of Economics and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"18 1\",\"pages\":\"619a-619k\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-05-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Review of Economics and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_e_01172\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Review of Economics and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_e_01172","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
摘要
Carriero, Clark, and Marcellino (2018, CCM2018)使用具有随机波动因子结构的大型BVAR模型对时变宏观经济和金融不确定性进行了估计,并评估了不确定性对经济的影响。CCM2018的结果基于一种估计算法,该算法最近被Bognanni(2022)证明是不正确的,并被Carriero等人(2022)修复。在本勘误表中,我们使用Carriero等人(2022)的算法校正来校正CCM2018的估计。虽然修正对原始结果有一定影响,但变化较小,维持了CCM2018的关键发现。
Corrigendum: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy
Abstract Carriero, Clark, and Marcellino (2018, CCM2018) used a large BVAR model with a factor structure to stochastic volatility to produce an estimate of time-varying macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and assess the effects of uncertainty on the economy. The results in CCM2018 were based on an estimation algorithm that has recently been shown to be incorrect by Bognanni (2022) and fixed by Carriero et al. (2022). In this corrigendum we use the algorithm correction of Carriero et al. (2022) to correct the estimates of CCM2018. Although the correction has some impact on the original results, the changes are small and the key findings of CCM2018 are upheld.
期刊介绍:
The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.