全球化背景下乌克兰国家(粮食)安全系数国际规律的形成

Q4 Social Sciences Przeglad Strategiczny Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI:10.14746/ps.2020.1.28
S. Khalatur, K. Zhylenko, I. Vinichenko, O. Trokhymets, L. Kriuchko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是审查有关粮食安全问题的学术文献,以审查合理和最低营养的指标,促进对现有指标体系的分析,以评估一个国家粮食安全体系的状况。本文的目的是调查和展示在全球化背景下乌克兰国家(粮食)安全形成背后的必要性。广义上的国家粮食安全应被视为经济状况,更狭义地说,应被视为一个国家根据基本产品自给自足以及经济上和物质上可获得的原则,向每个公民提供所需数量、范围和质量的粮食,确保个人健康和智力发展,从而满足人口需要的有保障的能力。不考虑外部和内部因素的影响。对欧盟和乌克兰的全球粮食安全指数排名进行了分析。本文分析了乌克兰消费者在家中消费的食品支出。本文分析了2001-2018年欧盟和乌克兰的平均粮食安全指标,特别是食品出口、食品进口、食品生产指数、食品、饮料和烟草。对乌克兰和欧盟小麦和玉米收成和作物生产的动态和预测进行了比较。本文对欧盟和乌克兰的粮食安全指标套件进行了分析,同时对粮食生产指数的多因素回归模型进行了综合分析,包括外国直接投资、净流入、GDP增长、人均国民总收入增长、短期债务、税收、自然资源租金总额和贸易。分析表明,对于粮食生产指数的分析,建立回归模型是有效的,因为它不仅可以估计因素对结果的影响程度,而且可以最有效地预测未来粮食生产指数的大小。
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The Formation of the International Imperatives of the National (Food) Security Coefficient in Ukraine under Globalization
The purpose of the study is to review the academic literature on food security issues in order to examine the indicators of rational and minimal nutrition, facilitating the analysis of the existing system of indicators by which to assess the state of the food security system in a country. The aim of the article is to investigate and demonstrate the imperatives behind the formation of Ukraine’s national (food) security in the context of globalization. National food security in the broad sense should be considered as the state of the economy, and more narrowly – as the guaranteed ability of a state to meet the needs of the population by providing each citizen with the required volume, range and quality of food at a level that ensures the health and intellectual development of the individual, based on the principles of self-sufficiency of basic products and their economic and physical accessibility, regardless of the influence of external and internal factors. The Global Food Security Index Ranks of the European Union and Ukraine are analyzed. Consumer expenditure on food consumed at home in Ukraine is analyzed in the article. Average food security indicators of the EU and Ukraine are analyzed for 2001–2018, in particular for food exports, food imports, food production index, food, beverages and tobacco. The dynamics and forecasts of wheat and maize harvest and crop production in Ukraine and the EU are compared. The analysis of the Suite of Food Security Indicators of the EU and Ukraine is presented alongside a comprehensive analysis of the multifactor regression model of Food Production Index from foreign direct investment, net inflows, GDP growth, GNI per capita growth, short-term debt, tax revenue, total natural resources rents, and trade. The analysis has shown that for the analysis of the food production index it is effective to build a regression model, because it allows not only to estimate the degree of influence of the factor on the result, but also to most effectively predict the size of the food production index for the future.
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Przeglad Strategiczny
Przeglad Strategiczny Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
0.20
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期刊介绍: The periodical “Strategic Review” is published by the Faculty of Political Science and Journalism of Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznan. The aim of the journal is to create possibilities to share views and present results of research focusing on contemporary international relations, internal and international security and strategic studies. The journal’s aim is to encourage discussion and debate in these fields.
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