基于文献计量分析的技术预测的目的、方法和研究领域

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2013-01-30 DOI:10.1504/IJFIP.2013.051758
D. Kanama
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文对国内外科技预测的目标、方法和研究领域进行了考察,以期对科技预测有一个全面的认识。技术预见的目标不仅是为科技与创新战略规划做出贡献,而且是建立与科技与创新战略相关的知识库作为学习工具。此外,对德尔菲法、场景规划和技术路线图的文献计量分析发现,每种方法的出版物数量都有所增加,这些主题领域因方法而异,如德尔菲法的健康和医学、场景规划的环境和能源、技术路线图的电力和半导体。
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Objective, methodology and subject area of technology foresight based on bibliometric analysis
Aiming to obtain an overview of science and technology foresight, this paper examines objective, methodology and subject area of technology foresight in the world. The objective of technology foresight is not only to contribute to science and technology and innovation strategy planning, but also to establish a knowledge base related to science and technology and innovation strategy as a learning tool. Furthermore, a bibliometric analysis of Delphi method, scenario-planning and technology roadmapping has found that the numbers of publications of each methodology have increased, and these subject areas are different by methodology such as health and medicine for Delphi method, environment and energy for scenario-planning, and electricity and semiconductor for technology roadmapping.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Business, Management and Accounting-Management of Technology and Innovation
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: The IJFIP has been established as a peer reviewed, international authoritative reference in the field. It publishes high calibre academic articles dealing with knowledge creation, diffusion and utilisation in innovation policy. The journal thus covers all types of Strategic Intelligence (SI). SI is defined as the set of actions that search, process, diffuse and protect information in order to make it available to the right person at the right time in order to make the right decision. Examples of SI in the domain of innovation include Foresight, Forecasting, Delphi studies, Technology Assessment, Benchmarking, R&D evaluation and Technology Roadmapping.
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