基于多维尺度的V4国家区域人口老龄化变化评估

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Argumenta Oeconomica Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.15611/aoe.2020.1.04
G. Dehnel, E. Gołata, Marek Walesiak
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引用次数: 5

摘要

该研究调查了2016年与2005年相比,四个维谢格拉德国家(V4)及其NUTS2地区的人口老龄化变化。采用年龄中位数、老年率、双重老龄化指数、老龄化指数、老年抚养比等指标对人口老龄化进行评价。作者考虑了解释人口金字塔底部和顶部发生变化的原因。运用多维尺度、复合指标和Theil分解相结合的方法,确定了人口老龄化水平在二维空间上的差异及其变化动态。这种方法,加上结果的可视化,丰富了这种解释。参考期内,V4国家及其地区的人口老龄化进程明显加快。在斯洛伐克,地区之间的不平衡有所增加,在波兰略有增加,在捷克共和国和匈牙利有所减少。
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Assessment of changes in population ageing in regions of the V4 countries with application of multidimensional scaling
The study investigates the variation in population ageing in four Visegrad countries (V4) and across their NUTS2 regions in 2016 compared to 2005. Population ageing was assessed using the median age, old-age rate, double ageing index, ageing index, and old-age dependency ratio. The authors took into account causes that explain changes occurring at the bottom and at the top of the population pyramid. By applying multidimensional scaling combined with the composite indicator and the Theil decomposition, the study identified differences in the level of population ageing in a two-dimensional space and the dynamics of these changes. Such an approach, with the visualization of the results, enriches this interpretation. In the reference period the process of population ageing in the V4 countries and their regions accelerated considerably. The disproportion between regions has increased in Slovakia, slightly increased in Poland, and decreased in the Czech Republic and Hungary.
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