波黑金融危机期间汇款变化的动机

IF 1 Q1 Arts and Humanities Sudosteuropa Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI:10.1515/SOEU-2016-0003
Oruč Nermin, Tabakovič Amina
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引用次数: 1

摘要

波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那(波黑)是一个依赖大量汇款流入的国家,由于全球经济危机,汇款流入有所下降。本文旨在分析这种减少是否以及如何与汇款动机的变化有关。动机的变化将通过分别使用2007年(危机前)和2011年(危机期间)的两个家庭数据集,探索社会转移和汇款之间的相互作用来分析。分析是基于对两个模型规格的估计,一个控制动机的非单调性,另一个不控制。与以往的研究相比,本文通过创新的实证模型规范来估计非单调的“挤出”效应。其调查结果表明,危机前向波黑汇款的主要动机是交换,而在危机期间汇款的发件人则更加无私。此外,关于动机非单调性的模型的结果支持这样一种假设,即由于经济危机,汇款的贫穷和非贫穷收款人的转移动机正在以不同的方式发生变化。
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Motives for Remittances Change During the Financial Crisis in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), a country that relies on a significant amount of remittance inflows, has experienced a drop in these inflows as a consequence of the global economic crisis. This paper aims to analyse whether and how this decrease is related to a change in motives for sending remittances. The change in motives will be analysed by exploring the interaction between social transfers and remittances using two household datasets, from 2007 (before the crisis) and 2011 (during the crisis), respectively. The analysis is based on the estimation of two model specifications, one that controls for the motives’ non-monotonicity and another that does not. Compared to previous studies, this paper estimates the non-monotonic ‘crowding-out’ effect via an innovative empirical model specification. Its findings suggest that the predominant motive for sending remittances to BiH before the crisis was exchange, while during the crisis the senders of remittances were more altruistic. In addition, the results from the model on non-monotonicity of motives support the hypothesis that as a consequence of the economic crisis, transfer motives are changing in ways that are different for poor and non-poor recipients of remittances.
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Sudosteuropa
Sudosteuropa AREA STUDIES-
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