贸易开放对经合组织成员国双边贸易流动是否有显著影响实证调查

Ali Gulzar
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文利用1980-2016年的年度时间序列数据,实证研究了贸易自由化对2ECO(巴基斯坦、土耳其和伊朗)国家双边贸易流动的影响。本研究运用单位根检验、约束检验方法和ARDL回归分析技术,实证检验了贸易开放对经合组织国家双边贸易流动的作用和影响。实证结果发现,贸易开放对经合组织国家双边贸易流动具有长期显著的正向影响。此外,该研究得出结论,贸易开放在出口和满足进口需求方面发挥着重要作用。这项研究的结果可能为决策者提供重要的指导方针,以便制订改善国际贸易的规则和条例,从而有助于经合组织国家实现可持续的外汇储备和经济增长。
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Does Trade Openness has Noteworthy effect on Bilateral Trade Flows of E.C.O. Countries; an Empirical Investigation
Abstract This study empirically investigated the effect of trade liberalization on the bilateral trade flows of 2ECO (Pakistan, Turkey and Iran) countries using annual time series data for the period of 1980-2016. The study applied unit root test, bound testing approach and ARDL regression analysis technique to empirically examine the role and impact of trade openness on bilateral trade flows of ECO countries. The empirical results found long-run positive and significant effect of trade openness on bilateral trade flows of ECO countries. Further, the study concluded that trade openness playing an important role in exports as well as in fulfilling the requirements by imports. The findings of the study might provide significant guidelines to policy makers to initiate rules and regulations for the improvement in international trade that might help in attainment of sustainable foreign exchange reserves and economic growth of ECO countries.
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