研究和表示电力市场复杂行为的方法论方法

Johnny Valencia-Calvo, Carlos Jaime Franco-Cardona, Gerard Olivar-Tost, Isaac Dyner-Rezonzew
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引用次数: 9

摘要

在本文中,我们展示了一个方法总结来模拟和理解能源市场模型的复杂行为。本工作的目的是提出系统动力学的商业方法,包括动力系统及其数学观点。此外,我们还提出了两种基于系统动力学的模型灵敏度分析方法。第一个是数值敏感性分析,第二个是使用庞加莱图。最后,我们得出结论,数学框架和市场的商业应用之间存在互补性。这将使我们能够更好地利用我们的模型。
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Enfoque metodológico para el estudio y representación de comportamientos complejos en mercados de electricidad
In the this paper, we show a methodological summary to simulate and understand the complex behavior of energy market models. The goal of this work is to propose the business approach of system dynamics, with the dynamical systems and its mathematical point of view. Additionally we present two ways to perform sensitivity analysis on models based on system dynamics. The first one is numerical sensitivity analysis, and the second one is using Poincare maps. Finally, we conclude that there is complementarity between the mathematical framework and the business applications for the market. This will allow us to achieve greater exploitation for our models.
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