人民币国际化:现状与展望

Q1 Arts and Humanities Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.17994/it.2020.18.3.62.4
V. Shapovalov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提供了有关人民币国际化阶段的信息,中国当局在这一领域采取的行动,并提出了进一步增加人民币在国际业务中使用的可能方法。该分析基于IMF和SWIFT使用的国际货币标准,以及俄罗斯和外国研究人员的建议。启动人民币国际化进程,中国希望实现一系列经济和政治目标。在国际业务中使用本国货币增加了该国在世界上的声望,促进了国内经济行动者的国际交易,并允许影响外国同行。过去十年,中国在人民币国际化方面取得了重大成功。人民币成为国际货币基金组织储备货币已有三年多的时间。然而,人民币在全球结算和投资中的份额仍然不大,与中国的经济规模不相称。美国在世界金融体系中保持着主导地位,对允许中国增加其全球影响力不感兴趣。中国正邀请其主要贸易伙伴创建以人民币为基础的国际交易体系,作为美元的替代品。尽管中国经济规模庞大,外国投资规模庞大,国内证券市场规模庞大,但国际参与者对使用人民币的兴趣相对较低。将预期目标和已采取的行动与目前的结果进行比较,可以建议对增加人民币在全球使用的战略作出让步。这可以通过取消对国际资本流动的限制,并为国际参与者获得人民币流动性和工具提供便利来实现。
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Yuan Internationalization: Status and Perspectives
The article provides information about renminbi internationalization stages, actions taken by Chinese authorities in this field as well as suggests possible ways for further increasing usage of the currency in international operations. The analysis is based on international currency criteria used by IMF and SWIFT and well as suggestions of Russian and foreign researchers. Launching the process of renminbi internationalization China was looking to achieve a number of economic and political goals. Usage on the national currency in international operations increases the country’s prestige in the world, facilitates international transaction for domestic economic actors and allows influencing foreign counterparts. China achieved significant success in internationalizing its national currency in the past decade. Yuan has been part of IMF reserve currencies for more than three years. However, the share of renminbi in global settlements and investments is still moderate and does not correspond to the size of the country’s economy. The USA maintains their dominant role in the world’s financial system and is not interested in allowing China to increase its global influence. China is inviting its key trading partners to create yuan based international transactions system as an alternative to the US dollar. Despite the scale of the economy, volume of foreign investments and size of the internal securities market – international participants show relatively low interest for renminbi usage. Comparison of the anticipated goals and actions taken and with the current outcomes allows suggesting conceding amendments to the strategy of increasing renminbi usage in the world. This can be achieved by removing restrictions for international capital movements and facilitating access to yuan liquidity and instruments for international participants.
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来源期刊
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊介绍: “International Trends” (“Mezhdunarodnye protsessy”) was established in 2002 as the first Russian TIR journal. As of the early 2010s, it holds a strong position among the top three Russian thematic academic journals (according to the Russian Science Citation Index). The Journal’s key mission is a theoretical comprehension of the world as a whole, of international tendencies and the planetary political environment, and of the world-integrity our country finds herself in and develops with.
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