摩洛哥的外债和经济增长:评估和影响

Oumansour Nor-Eddine, Chkiriba Driss
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文旨在研究外部公共债务对摩洛哥经济增长的影响。这些估计涵盖了1988年至2016年期间。用于估计模型参数的计量工具是基于“ARDL绑定检验”方法。研究结果证实,无论是从短期还是长期来看,高企的公共债务对经济增长都有很大的负面影响。这种影响在短期内比在长期内更为重要。这一结果证实了大多数关于外债对经济增长有负面影响的研究。
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EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MOROCCO: ASSESSMENT AND IMPACTS
This paper has the aim to study the impact of the external public debt on the economic growth in Morocco. The estimates cover the period 1988-2016. The econometric instrument used for estimating the model parameters is based on the "ARDL bound testing" method. The results confirm the high public debt has a negative and largely significant effect on the economic growth, for the short as well as for the long term. The effect is much more important in the short term than in the long term. The results corroborate most studies stating that the external debt has a negative impact on economic growth.
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