{"title":"2012年塞尔维亚议会选举无效选票","authors":"Uroš Lazić","doi":"10.20901/pm.58.4.05","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The “white ballots” campaign in the 2012 parliamentary election in Serbiawas accompanied by a change in the portion of invalid ballots, but also intheir correlation with socio-demographic variables. When the percentage ofinvalid votes in the three previous elections is analyzed using the generalizedleast squares (GLS) multiple regression analysis, the percentage of inhabitantswith incomplete primary education represents the best predictor. The percentageof individuals with primary education is also statistically relevant, just inthe opposite (negative) direction, and less predictive. When GLS is applied toinvalid votes in the 2012 election, incomplete primary education is positively,and primary education is negatively correlated with the criterion. The percentageof illiterates, the share of people over 65 years of age and the degreeof urbanization are significantly, but negatively related to the criterion. Theconsequences of the 2012 election outcome were considered in the light of theregression to competitive authoritarianism.","PeriodicalId":43401,"journal":{"name":"Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Voided Ballots in the 2012 Parliamentary Election in Serbia\",\"authors\":\"Uroš Lazić\",\"doi\":\"10.20901/pm.58.4.05\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The “white ballots” campaign in the 2012 parliamentary election in Serbiawas accompanied by a change in the portion of invalid ballots, but also intheir correlation with socio-demographic variables. When the percentage ofinvalid votes in the three previous elections is analyzed using the generalizedleast squares (GLS) multiple regression analysis, the percentage of inhabitantswith incomplete primary education represents the best predictor. The percentageof individuals with primary education is also statistically relevant, just inthe opposite (negative) direction, and less predictive. When GLS is applied toinvalid votes in the 2012 election, incomplete primary education is positively,and primary education is negatively correlated with the criterion. The percentageof illiterates, the share of people over 65 years of age and the degreeof urbanization are significantly, but negatively related to the criterion. Theconsequences of the 2012 election outcome were considered in the light of theregression to competitive authoritarianism.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43401,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-11-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20901/pm.58.4.05\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"POLITICAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20901/pm.58.4.05","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"POLITICAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Voided Ballots in the 2012 Parliamentary Election in Serbia
The “white ballots” campaign in the 2012 parliamentary election in Serbiawas accompanied by a change in the portion of invalid ballots, but also intheir correlation with socio-demographic variables. When the percentage ofinvalid votes in the three previous elections is analyzed using the generalizedleast squares (GLS) multiple regression analysis, the percentage of inhabitantswith incomplete primary education represents the best predictor. The percentageof individuals with primary education is also statistically relevant, just inthe opposite (negative) direction, and less predictive. When GLS is applied toinvalid votes in the 2012 election, incomplete primary education is positively,and primary education is negatively correlated with the criterion. The percentageof illiterates, the share of people over 65 years of age and the degreeof urbanization are significantly, but negatively related to the criterion. Theconsequences of the 2012 election outcome were considered in the light of theregression to competitive authoritarianism.
期刊介绍:
“Politička misao” je akademski časopis za politologiju i srodne discipline, koji od 1964. godine izdaje Fakultet političkih znanosti Sveučilišta u Zagrebu. Časopis je u pola stoljeća izlaženja stekao reputaciju središnjeg akademskog politološkog časopisa u Hrvatskoj i šire, naročito u nekadašnjoj Jugoslaviji, te u regiji koju čine post-jugoslavenske zemlje. “Politička misao” objavljuje priloge iz područja političkih znanosti i političkih studija općenito, odnosno iz svih poddisciplina politologije: političke teorije, međunarodnih odnosa, komparativne politike, hrvatske politike, javne politike, područnih studija, političke komunikacije, obrambenih i sigurnosnih studija i dr. Također, objavljujemo i članke iz područja koje nije moguće jednoznačno klasificirati po njihovoj pripadnosti samo jednoj disciplini nego se nalaze na „granici“ između dviju ili više disciplina: političke povijesti, ekonomske politike, političke filozofije, političke sociologije, političke psihologije, medijskih i kulturalnih studija i sl. Kao izdanje Fakulteta političkih znanosti u Zagrebu, objavljujemo i članke koji su neposredno vezani uz studijske programe na tom fakultetu. “Politička misao” je posebno zainteresirana za radove o hrvatskoj politici i društvu, za radove koji analiziraju Hrvatsku u globalnom kontekstu, kao i za radove koji istražuju politiku i društvo na Balkanu i u Jugoistočnoj Europi, u Europskoj uniji, u susjedstvu Europske unije, te na Mediteranu – regijama s kojima Hrvatska ima neposredni dodir.