亚太经合组织经济体高红利战略的有效性评价

A. Stolyarov, I. Sorokin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与使用高股息股票相关的投资策略已经有30多年的历史了。尽管如此,它们在今天仍然具有重要意义。关于这一主题的大量研究致力于研究高股息策略在一个市场内的有效性,而跨国研究评估了少数市场。本文的目的是评估高股息战略在除文莱和巴布亚新几内亚以外的所有APEC经济体市场中的有效性。研究的时间范围是从2002年至今。我们采用了著名的经典高股息策略的修正和作者提出的修正。我们检验了关于各种因素影响的假设,如投资组合中的股票数量,投资组合形成的月份,将经济分类为发达或发展中国家,以及高股息投资组合的回报。我们还检验了高股息异常的显著性在各个市场都存在,但随着时间的推移而降低的假设。研究结果显示,亚太经合组织发达经济体和发展中经济体的高股息策略的有效性水平不同,影响因素也不同。我们发现,在新兴市场,高股息策略通常更有效,但在市场增长的情况下,高股息策略只在发达市场增加其异常回报。同时,作者得出结论,高股息投资组合中的股票数量直接影响其工作结果。所得结果具有一定的理论和实用价值,可用于实际投资组合的编制。
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The evaluation of the effectiveness of high-dividend strategies in Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation economies
Investment strategies related to the use of high-dividend shares have been known for more than 30 years. Despite this, they remain relevant today. A large number of studies on this topic are devoted to studying the effectiveness of high-dividend strategies within one market, and cross-country studies evaluate a small number of markets. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the effectiveness of high-dividend strategies in the markets of all APEC economies, with the exception of Brunei and Papua New Guinea. The time horizon of the study is from 2002 to the present. We applied well-known modifications of the classic high-dividend strategy and modifications developed by the authors. We test hypotheses regarding the influence of various factors, such as the number of shares in a portfolio, the month of portfolio formation,classifying the economy as developed or developing, and the return on high-dividend portfolios. We also test the hypothesis that the significance of the high-dividend anomaly exists in various markets, but decreases over time. The results show different levels of effectiveness of high-dividend strategies and the different impact of the factors on the markets of developed and developing APEC economies. We found that high-dividend strategies are generally more effective in emerging markets, but in case of market growth, high-dividend strategies increase their abnormal returns only in developed markets. At the same time, the authors conclude that the number of shares in a high-dividend portfolio directly affects the result of its work. The results have theoretical and practical value, and can be applied in compiling a real investment portfolio.
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CiteScore
1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
9
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