从家庭和商业零售的用电成本角度选择2020年捷克共和国的电力供应商——模拟模型

Martina Kuncová
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引用次数: 1

摘要

从小客户或家庭的角度来看,捷克电力市场的情况每年都令人困惑。虽然家庭和小型企业的用电价格资料已在互联网(电力规管办事处的网页)上免费提供,但普通小型消费者仍不容易了解用电成本的计算规则。对于小企业家来说,经常出现的问题是,用于家庭的关税是否可以用于电力消费,或者是否有必要或适当地转向用于小企业消费的关税。本文主要从家庭分配率D25d的角度分析了捷克共和国2020年电力供应商的报价。c - 25 - d供企业家使用,以便评估电力消耗成本的差异,并选择每年电力消耗成本最低的产品和供应商。分析采用蒙特卡罗模拟,其中产生的月用电量(正态概率分布),并结合多准则决策的基础知识,特别是非优势性检验原理。结果表明,年用电成本的差异可以在15%左右,家庭的关税税率比企业家的关税税率更便宜(这里的年成本差异也可以在15-20%左右)。
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Volba dodavatele elektřiny v ČR v roce 2020 z pohledu nákladů na spotřebu elektřiny pro domácnosti a pro podnikatelský maloodběr – simulační model
The situation on the Czech electricity market from the point of view of small customers or households is confusing every year. Although information on electricity consumption prices for households and small businesses is already freely available on the Internet (web pages of the Electricity Regulation Office), understanding the rules for calculating electricity consumption costs is still not easy for ordinary small consumers. For small entrepreneurs, the question often arises as to whether tariffs intended for households can be used for the electricity consumption, or whether it is necessary or appropriate to switch to tariffs for small business consumption. This article is focused on the analysis of the offer of electricity suppliers for the year 2020 in the Czech Republic from the point of view of the distribution rate D25d for households, resp. C25d for entrepreneurs in order to assess differences in the cost of electricity consumption and to select those products and suppliers for which the annual cost of electricity consumption is minimal. Monte Carlo simulation, where the monthly electricity consumption is generated (normal probability distribution), is used for the analysis together with the basics of multicriteria decision making, especially the non-dominance testing principle. The results show that the differences in the annual electricity consumption costs can be around 15% and the tariff rates for households are cheaper than the tariff rates for the entrepreneurs (also here the difference in annual costs can be around 15-20%).
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