是什么驱使年轻人移民海外?证据来自国际调查数据

Santo Milasi
{"title":"是什么驱使年轻人移民海外?证据来自国际调查数据","authors":"Santo Milasi","doi":"10.2478/izajodm-2020-0012","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Despite the bulk of international migrants being youth, little is known about the factors driving young people’s migration behavior at the global level. Using the individual-level survey data from Gallup World Poll across 139 countries over the period 2010–2016, this study contributes to the literature by exploring a wide range of factors potentially shaping young people’s (aged 15–34) desire, and a more concrete plan, to migrate abroad permanently. Results show that factors, such as holding post-secondary education, being unemployed, and working part-time involuntary, are increasing the desire of youth to migrate abroad as well as the probability that they turn this aspiration into a more concrete plan over the following year. Similarly, having negative expectations about the economic outlook, the number of available job opportunities, and the prospects for upward career mobility are found to increase the propensity to migrate abroad, both among unemployed and employed youth. Results also show that material deprivation may represent a significant push factor behind youth migration, although budgetary constraints may prevent youth from transforming their migration desires into actual plans in low-income countries. Moreover, findings suggest that contextual factors, such as discontent with local amenities and national governments, increase the desire of youth to migrate abroad, but they have little or no influence on the probability that these dreams are turned into more concrete plans. Finally, this study shows that while youth’s and adults’ migration propensities are often driven by the same motives, the influence of education and labor market-related factors on migration intentions is considerably stronger among youth than adults.","PeriodicalId":37475,"journal":{"name":"IZA Journal of Development and Migration","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"9","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"What Drives Youth’s Intention to Migrate Abroad? Evidence from International Survey Data\",\"authors\":\"Santo Milasi\",\"doi\":\"10.2478/izajodm-2020-0012\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract Despite the bulk of international migrants being youth, little is known about the factors driving young people’s migration behavior at the global level. Using the individual-level survey data from Gallup World Poll across 139 countries over the period 2010–2016, this study contributes to the literature by exploring a wide range of factors potentially shaping young people’s (aged 15–34) desire, and a more concrete plan, to migrate abroad permanently. Results show that factors, such as holding post-secondary education, being unemployed, and working part-time involuntary, are increasing the desire of youth to migrate abroad as well as the probability that they turn this aspiration into a more concrete plan over the following year. Similarly, having negative expectations about the economic outlook, the number of available job opportunities, and the prospects for upward career mobility are found to increase the propensity to migrate abroad, both among unemployed and employed youth. Results also show that material deprivation may represent a significant push factor behind youth migration, although budgetary constraints may prevent youth from transforming their migration desires into actual plans in low-income countries. Moreover, findings suggest that contextual factors, such as discontent with local amenities and national governments, increase the desire of youth to migrate abroad, but they have little or no influence on the probability that these dreams are turned into more concrete plans. Finally, this study shows that while youth’s and adults’ migration propensities are often driven by the same motives, the influence of education and labor market-related factors on migration intentions is considerably stronger among youth than adults.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37475,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IZA Journal of Development and Migration\",\"volume\":\"11 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"9\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IZA Journal of Development and Migration\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2478/izajodm-2020-0012\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"Social Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IZA Journal of Development and Migration","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2478/izajodm-2020-0012","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9

摘要

尽管大多数国际移民都是年轻人,但在全球层面上,人们对推动年轻人移民行为的因素知之甚少。本研究利用2010年至2016年期间盖洛普世界民意调查(Gallup World Poll)在139个国家的个人层面调查数据,通过探索可能影响年轻人(15-34岁)永久移民海外愿望和更具体计划的各种因素,为文献做出了贡献。结果显示,诸如接受高等教育、失业和非自愿兼职工作等因素正在增加年轻人移民海外的愿望,以及他们在接下来的一年中将这一愿望转化为更具体计划的可能性。同样,对经济前景、现有工作机会的数量和职业向上流动的前景抱有消极期望,会增加失业和就业青年移居国外的倾向。结果还表明,物质匮乏可能是青年移徙背后的一个重要推动因素,尽管预算限制可能会阻止青年将其移徙愿望转化为低收入国家的实际计划。此外,研究结果表明,环境因素,如对当地便利设施和国家政府的不满,增加了年轻人移民到国外的愿望,但它们对这些梦想变成更具体计划的可能性几乎没有影响。最后,这项研究表明,虽然年轻人和成年人的移民倾向往往是由相同的动机驱动的,但教育和劳动力市场相关因素对移民意愿的影响在年轻人中要比成年人强得多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
What Drives Youth’s Intention to Migrate Abroad? Evidence from International Survey Data
Abstract Despite the bulk of international migrants being youth, little is known about the factors driving young people’s migration behavior at the global level. Using the individual-level survey data from Gallup World Poll across 139 countries over the period 2010–2016, this study contributes to the literature by exploring a wide range of factors potentially shaping young people’s (aged 15–34) desire, and a more concrete plan, to migrate abroad permanently. Results show that factors, such as holding post-secondary education, being unemployed, and working part-time involuntary, are increasing the desire of youth to migrate abroad as well as the probability that they turn this aspiration into a more concrete plan over the following year. Similarly, having negative expectations about the economic outlook, the number of available job opportunities, and the prospects for upward career mobility are found to increase the propensity to migrate abroad, both among unemployed and employed youth. Results also show that material deprivation may represent a significant push factor behind youth migration, although budgetary constraints may prevent youth from transforming their migration desires into actual plans in low-income countries. Moreover, findings suggest that contextual factors, such as discontent with local amenities and national governments, increase the desire of youth to migrate abroad, but they have little or no influence on the probability that these dreams are turned into more concrete plans. Finally, this study shows that while youth’s and adults’ migration propensities are often driven by the same motives, the influence of education and labor market-related factors on migration intentions is considerably stronger among youth than adults.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
IZA Journal of Development and Migration
IZA Journal of Development and Migration Social Sciences-Anthropology
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊最新文献
Migrant Remittances During a Global Shock: Evidence From the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mexico Are labor markets in the Middle East and North Africa recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic? The effects of COVID-19 on employment, labor markets, and gender equality in Central America The role of refugees in the underground economy of the European Union Economic Assimilation of Mexicans and Central Americans in the United States
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1