Differential Egg Mortality of Georges Bank Cod and Haddock Inferred from Two Independent Estimates of Seasonal Egg Production

Georges Bank Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) stocks have undergone significant changes over the last 40 years with the reduction of older spawners and increased incidence of young mature fish. Captive studies, from other investigations, have noted that firstand second-time spawners exhibit lower egg hatching success, and especially for haddock compared to cod. Spawning stock biomass (SSB), derived from virtual population analysis (VPA), has been considered as an overestimate of a stock’s spawning potential since it does not fully account for differences in age or size of spawners. The Northeast Fisheries Science Center’s (NEFSC) ichthyoplankton Surveys (1979–1999) have provided an independent estimate of seasonal egg production to compare with a VPA-fecundity based estimate. Since the early stage eggs of the two species are indistinguishable, their numbers were estimated by apportioning the total egg abundance (cod plus haddock) at a station by the late stage abundance ratio, assuming equal mortality for the two species. For cod, the Surveys overestimated the VPA-derived egg production in many years by as much as an order of magnitude. However, for haddock, the VPA-derived egg production estimates were mostly higher than those from the Surveys. Comparing the ratio of the two egg production estimates versus the total combined VPA egg production of cod and haddock, the cod ratios were high when haddock was abundant, especially during the years 1995–1999, and closer to one when cod comprised the greater part of the total. The corresponding analysis for haddock was the reverse to that of cod further supporting the hypothesis that the higher egg mortality of the reduced age population of haddock biased the seasonal egg production estimates of both haddock and cod. These ratios appear to explain 60–70% of the variability in the ratio of Survey to VPA seasonal egg production, while other factors might be related to fecundity and age-class composition of the SSB, or changes in egg mortality rates over the time series. Our Survey estimates also suggest that haddock egg mortality is greater than cod. Thus, the seasonal egg production estimates from egg Surveys based on constant egg mortality are probably inaccurate, especially since the mid-1990s. Cod egg production may have been overestimated and haddock’s underestimated.