气候变化背景下极端降水特征及其影响——基于cnki文献调查

Xinru Zhang
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摘要

极端降水事件是中国乃至世界范围内范围最广、危害最大的气象灾害之一。探讨气候变化背景下极端降水的研究现状,可以从宏观角度把握该领域的研究现状和热点,为深入了解极端降水的成因和趋势提供参考。自1992年以来,极端降水研究逐渐展开,本研究采用文献计量学方法对中国知网数据库1992 - 2022年的科学文献进行系统统计和分析。结果表明,中国季风区极端降水事件发生频率和强度均呈增加趋势,且区域差异明显。它对农业生产和植被覆盖也有很大影响。此外,近年来,学者们逐渐开展了极端降水与大气环流关系的研究,特别是极端降水的时空特征与ENSO事件的关系,成为新的研究热点。建议今后的研究应综合分析各种影响因素,定量分析极端降水对农业生产和植被覆盖的影响,并提出相应的解决方案。
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CHARACTERISTICS AND IMPACTS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE: BASED ON CNKI LITERATURE INVESTIGATION
Extreme precipitation event is one of the most extensive and harmful meteorological disasters in China and even the world. Discussing the research situation of extreme precipitation under the background of climate change can grasp the research status and hot spots in this field from a macro perspective and provide a reference for in-depth understanding of the causes and trends of extreme precipitation. Since 1992, the research on extreme precipitation has been gradually carried out, so this study systematically counts and analyzes the scientific literature from the CNKI database from 1992 to 2022 by bibliometric. It shows that the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events increase in the China monsoon region, and the regional differences are obvious. It also has a great impact on agricultural production and vegetation coverage. In addition, in recent years, scholars have gradually carried out research on the relationship between extreme precipitation and atmospheric circulation, especially the relationship between the spatial and temporal characteristics of extreme precipitation and ENSO events, which has become a new research hotspot. It is suggested that future studies should comprehensively analyze various influencing factors, quantitatively analyze the impact of extreme precipitation on agricultural production and vegetation coverage, and put forward corresponding solutions.
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