叶卡捷琳堡人口发展的历史、经济和人口研究特征(19世纪末至21世纪初)

Q2 Arts and Humanities Ural''skij Istoriceskij Vestnik Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.30759/1728-9718-2022-3(76)-131-143
L. Mazur
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文在人口普查的基础上,对叶卡捷琳堡-斯维尔德洛夫斯克的人口动态进行了分析。作为1959年人口普查的额外来源,不仅使用了官方结果,而且还使用了根据档案中保存的人口普查表格编制的数据库。研究了人口的性别和年龄结构以及国民构成的变化。特别注意家庭婚姻行为的特征和相关过程的特征:结婚、生育和离婚。在时间序列分析的基础上,明确了人口转型的主要阶段,并对其特殊性进行了表征。叶卡捷琳堡-斯维尔德洛夫斯克人口转型的一个特点是一个延长的初始阶段,总共花了大约100年;第二阶段(1940 - 50年代)的快速转折点,与简单再生产模式的建立有关;漫长的第三阶段(1960年至2010年),由于劳动力过剩地区的移民涌入,与人口老龄化相关的主要趋势趋于平缓。外来移民在保持城市人口高增长率方面的作用应该得到强调。在决定人口进程的因素中,我们还考虑了行政资源,这有助于城市经济的发展,并形成了人口增长的需求。
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HISTORICAL, ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC STUDIES FEATURES OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF EKATERINBURG (LATE 19TH — EARLY 21ST CENTURY)
The article analyzes the demographic dynamics of Ekaterinburg — Sverdlovsk based on the population censuses. As an additional source for the 1959 census, not only official results were used, but also a database compiled on the basis of census forms preserved in the archive. Changes in the sex and age structure of the population, as well as in the national composition, were studied. Particular attention is paid to the characterization of the features of family-marital behavior and related processes: nuptiality, fertility, and divorcement. Based on the analysis of time series, the main stages of the demographic transition were clarified, and their specificity was characterized. A feature of the demographic transition of Ekaterinburg — Sverdlovsk was an extended initial stage, which took a total of about 100 years; the rapid turning point of the second stage (1940–1950s), associated with the establishing of the model of simple reproduction; and a long third stage (1960–2010s), when the main trend associated with the aging of the population is smoothed out due to the influx of migrants from labor-surplus regions. The role of external migration in maintaining the high growth rates of the city’s population should be emphasized. Among the factors that determined the demographic processes, we also considered the administrative resource, which contributed to the development of the city’s economy and formed a demand for population growth.
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来源期刊
Ural''skij Istoriceskij Vestnik
Ural''skij Istoriceskij Vestnik Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: The Institute of History and Archaeology of the Ural Branch of RAS introduces the “Ural Historical Journal” — a quarterly magazine. Every issue contains publications on the central conceptual topic (e.g. “literary tradition”, “phenomenon of colonization”, “concept of Eurasianism”), a specific historical or regional topic, a discussion forum, information about academic publications, conferences and field research, jubilees and other important events in the life of the historians’ guild. All papers to be published in the Journal are subject to expert reviews. The editorial staff of the Journal invites research, members of academic community and educational institutions to cooperation as authors of the articles and information messages, as well as readers and subscribers to the magazine.
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