有限清洁能源消耗条件下电力零售商购售策略优化

Peng Liao, Hanlin Liu, Yingjie Wang, Neng Liao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在我国能源转型过程中,水电、风电、光伏发电等清洁能源迎来了大发展,但由于其产出的随机性和波动性,造成了一定的清洁能源发电资源浪费。针对电力零售商在清洁能源消费有限的情况下的购电和售电问题,从电力系统供需平衡的角度建立了清洁能源限电的定量模型。在此基础上,分析了中长期电力市场和日前市场中电力零售商购销情景下的源-荷双不确定因素。通过多场景分析方法,将不确定的清洁能源消费与用户电力需求相结合,形成电力零售商购售电场景,并利用层次聚类算法得到典型场景。本文建立了电力零售商中长期市场购售电和减少放弃市场购售电的风险决策模型,以电力零售商购售电的最大利润预期为目标函数。同时,在中长期电力市场和日前市场中,考虑了电力零售商的购电成本、售电收入、偏差评估成本和购售电风险。分子结果表明,在平衡收益与风险的前提下,电商通过优化自身购电策略,可以在减弃市场中获得可观的收益。
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Optimization of Electricity Purchase and Sales Strategies of Electricity Retailers under the Condition of Limited Clean Energy Consumption
In the process of my country’s energy transition, the clean energy of hydropower, wind power and photovoltaic power generation has ushered in great development, but due to the randomness and volatility of its output, it has caused a certain waste of clean energy power generation resources. Regarding the purchase and sale of electricity by electricity retailers under the condition of limited clean energy consumption, this paper establishes a quantitative model of clean energy restricted electricity from the perspective of power system supply and demand balance. Then it analyzes the source-charge dual uncertain factors in the electricity retailer purchasing and selling scenarios in the mid-to long-term electricity market and the day-ahead market. Through the multi-scenario analysis method, the uncertain clean energy consumption and the user’s power demand are combined to form the electricity retailer’s electricity purchase and sales scene, and the typical scene is obtained by using the hierarchical clustering algorithm. This paper establishes a electricity retailer’s risk decision model for purchasing and selling electricity in the mid-and long-term market and reduce-abandonment market, and takes the maximum profit expectation of the electricity retailer from purchasing and selling electricity as the objective function. At the same time, in the medium and long-term electricity market and the day-ahead market, the electricity retailer’s purchase cost, electricity sales income, deviation assessment cost and electricity purchase and sale risk are considered. The molecular results show that electricity retailers can obtain considerable profits in the reduce-abandonment market by optimizing their own electricity purchase and sales strategies, on the premise of balancing profits and risks.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
122
期刊介绍: Energy Engineering is a bi-monthly publication of the Association of Energy Engineers, Atlanta, GA. The journal invites original manuscripts involving engineering or analytical approaches to energy management.
期刊最新文献
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