用于西非降雨监测和预警的高分辨率卫星降水产品的验证

IF 3.3 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Frontiers in Climate Pub Date : 2023-07-24 DOI:10.3389/fclim.2023.1185754
M. Houngnibo, B. Minoungou, S. Traoré, R. Maidment, A. Alhassane, Abdou Ali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

卫星降雨估计产品(SRPs)可以帮助克服雨量计数据的缺乏,从而监测与降雨有关的风险并提供早期预警。然而,srp可能受到几个错误来源的影响,需要在特定使用之前进行验证。在本研究中,对2001-2015年西非地区9个高空间分辨率srp(小于10 km)进行了月和年代际时间尺度的综合验证。srp和参考数据都被重新映射到0.1°的空间分辨率,并在网格尺度上进行验证过程,整个西非有1202个网格至少有一个雨量计。采用平均绝对误差、Pearson相关、Kling-Gupta效率、相对偏倚等无条件统计指标,以及降雨季节性的再现性来描述srp与参考数据之间的一致性。采用PROMETHEE II多标准决策分析(MCDA)方法,通过考虑包含其内在特征和绩效指标的标准对srp进行排名。总体而言,无论西非气候区和雨季如何,IMERGv6-Final、MSWEPv2.2、RFE2、ARC2和TAMSATv3.1的表现都相当好。考虑到这些SRPs的性能,RFE2、ARC2和MSWEPv2.2适合用于干旱监测。流域水资源综合评价推荐使用TAMSATv3.1、IMERGv6-Final、RFE2、ARC2和MSWEPv2.2。TAMSATv3.1和MSWEPv2.2将有助于表征降水的变率和长期变化。最后,在西非区域气候展望论坛(RCOF)进程中,TAMSATv3.1、ARC2和MSWEPv2.2可以很好地替代观测数据作为预测因子。
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Validation of high-resolution satellite precipitation products over West Africa for rainfall monitoring and early warning
Satellite rainfall estimation products (SRPs) can help overcome the absence of rain gauge data to monitor rainfall-related risks and provide early warning. However, SRPs can be subject to several sources of errors and need to be validated before specific uses. In this study, a comprehensive validation of nine high spatial resolution SRPs (less than 10 km) was performed on monthly and dekadal time scales for the period 2001–2015 in West Africa. Both SRPs and reference data were remapped to a spatial resolution of 0.1 ° and the validation process was carried out on a grid scale, with 1,202 grids having at least one rain gauge throughout West Africa. Unconditional statistical metrics, such as mean absolute error, Pearson correlation, Kling-Gupta efficiency and relative bias, as well as the reproducibility of rainfall seasonality, were used to describe the agreement between SRPs and reference data. The PROMETHEE II multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method was employed to rank SRPs by considering criteria encompassing both their intrinsic characteristics and performance metrics. Overall, IMERGv6-Final, MSWEPv2.2, RFE2, ARC2, and TAMSATv3.1, performed reasonably well, regardless of West African climate zones and rainy season period. Given the performances displayed by each of these SRPs, RFE2, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2 would be suitable for drought monitoring. TAMSATv3.1, IMERGv6-Final, RFE2, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2 are recommended for comprehensive basin water resources assessments. TAMSATv3.1 and MSWEPv2.2 would be of interest for the characterization of variability and long-term changes in precipitation. Finally, TAMSATv3.1, ARC2, and MSWEPv2.2, could be good alternatives to observed data as predictants in West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (RCOF) process.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Climate
Frontiers in Climate Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
233
审稿时长
15 weeks
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