{"title":"分数阶灰色预测算法","authors":"Yuran Liu, Yunchuan Hu, Mingliang Hou","doi":"10.30016/JGS.201112.0002","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In order to improve the prediction accuracy to uncertainty signal, the fractional order grey prediction algorithm is proposed in this paper, and the measurement method of the grey information of signals is proposed for the first time. The paper attempts to deduce the fractional order grey prediction algorithm through fractional order Taylor expansion formula and provide the measurement method of the grey information of signals by analyzing the relations between fractional-order differential orders and the prediction accuracy. Fractional order grey prediction algorithm spares the complex operation of whitening grey information and makes full use of the grey information. Experiments have proven that the prediction accuracy of fractional order grey prediction algorithm has been greatly increased as compared with GM (1,1) algorithm.","PeriodicalId":50187,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Grey System","volume":"15 1","pages":"139-144"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2011-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Fractional Order Grey Prediction Algorithm\",\"authors\":\"Yuran Liu, Yunchuan Hu, Mingliang Hou\",\"doi\":\"10.30016/JGS.201112.0002\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In order to improve the prediction accuracy to uncertainty signal, the fractional order grey prediction algorithm is proposed in this paper, and the measurement method of the grey information of signals is proposed for the first time. The paper attempts to deduce the fractional order grey prediction algorithm through fractional order Taylor expansion formula and provide the measurement method of the grey information of signals by analyzing the relations between fractional-order differential orders and the prediction accuracy. Fractional order grey prediction algorithm spares the complex operation of whitening grey information and makes full use of the grey information. Experiments have proven that the prediction accuracy of fractional order grey prediction algorithm has been greatly increased as compared with GM (1,1) algorithm.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50187,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Grey System\",\"volume\":\"15 1\",\"pages\":\"139-144\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Grey System\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.201112.0002\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Grey System","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.201112.0002","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
In order to improve the prediction accuracy to uncertainty signal, the fractional order grey prediction algorithm is proposed in this paper, and the measurement method of the grey information of signals is proposed for the first time. The paper attempts to deduce the fractional order grey prediction algorithm through fractional order Taylor expansion formula and provide the measurement method of the grey information of signals by analyzing the relations between fractional-order differential orders and the prediction accuracy. Fractional order grey prediction algorithm spares the complex operation of whitening grey information and makes full use of the grey information. Experiments have proven that the prediction accuracy of fractional order grey prediction algorithm has been greatly increased as compared with GM (1,1) algorithm.
期刊介绍:
The journal is a forum of the highest professional quality for both scientists and practitioners to exchange ideas and publish new discoveries on a vast array of topics and issues in grey system. It aims to bring forth anything from either innovative to known theories or practical applications in grey system. It provides everyone opportunities to present, criticize, and discuss their findings and ideas with others. A number of areas of particular interest (but not limited) are listed as follows:
Grey mathematics-
Generator of Grey Sequences-
Grey Incidence Analysis Models-
Grey Clustering Evaluation Models-
Grey Prediction Models-
Grey Decision Making Models-
Grey Programming Models-
Grey Input and Output Models-
Grey Control-
Grey Game-
Practical Applications.