智利农业劳动力市场的长期趋势和政策挑战

IF 0.7 4区 农林科学 Q3 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International Journal of Agriculture and Natural Resources Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.7764/ijanr.v48i3.2336
G. Anríquez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文确定了智利农业劳动力市场的主要长期趋势。该文件显示了农业劳动力的日益老龄化、女性化和季节性。根据人口和经济趋势,对劳动力供需的演变进行长期预测。这些预测表明,现有的劳动力供应减少和农业劳动力需求增加的趋势将继续下去,这主要是由于用劳动密集型但价值较高的出口作物替代作物。因此,本文预测农业劳动力成本快速增长的趋势将持续下去。本文讨论了农民和政策制定者通过不断提高农业劳动生产率来应对这些快速增长的劳动力成本所面临的挑战。
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Long-Term Trends and Policy Challenges in Chilean Agricultural Labor Markets
This paper identifies the major long-term trends in agricultural labor markets in Chile. The document shows the increasing aging, feminization, and seasonality of the agricultural labor force. Long-term projections are made regarding the evolution of labor supply and demand based on demographic and economic trends. These projections suggest the continuation of the already existing trends of a decreasing supply of labor and an increasing demand for agricultural labor, mostly driven by the substitution of crops into labor-intensive but higher-value export crops. Hence, the paper predicts a continuation of the trend of rapidly increasing labor costs in agriculture. The paper discusses the challenges imposed on farmers and policy-makers of confronting these rapidly growing labor costs by continually raising farm labor productivity.
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